NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	100		Excitement	9.0 [139]		MVP	Terry Rozier (CHA): +141.6%
Charlotte Hornets	102		Comeback	27.2 [49]		LVP	Brad Wanamaker (GSW): -22.4%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.29	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.29	0.13	0.11	-0.05	19	58%	0.29	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Damion Lee	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.13	0.15	0.00	8	82%	0.28	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Eric Paschall	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.10	-0.00	10	62%	0.19	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.05
Andrew Wiggins	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	15	59%	0.13	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Juan Toscano-Anderson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	36%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mychal Mulder	-0.12	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Brad Wanamaker	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.22	-0.08	-0.15	0.00	15	42%	-0.04	3	-0.19	3	67%	-0.03

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.45,1.42	1.42	0.27	1.15	0.01	19	86%	1.47	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
P.J. Washington	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.03	0.00	8	94%	0.20	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.01	4	100%	0.11	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	-0.01	11	59%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jalen McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	7	60%	0.05	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Cody Zeller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
LaMelo Ball	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.24,-0.27,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	10	35%	0.03	5	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.07	-0.01	11	32%	-0.07	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.0	28.1	14.5	29.4	1.8	28.7	128.3
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +115.8%

GSW -13.7%

GSW -12.8%

GSW -31.6%

GSW -7.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	CHA	NBA	GSW	CHA	NBA
this game	15.4	13.7	14.4	100.0	104.1	111.3
season	13.5	14.2		109.9	109.4
opponent	14.7	14.5		111.8	108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	17.0	14.2	14.6	16.0	15.4
CHA	15.0	14.0	11.5	14.6	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kent Bazemore	46	46	0.52	-1.02	1.54	0.23	10	-12	22	15.4	15.4	0.06	13.5	13.8	-0.28
Damion Lee	48	48	0.45	-0.95	1.40	-0.02	16	-18	34	14.9	15.8	-0.85	12.5	14.9	-2.38
Draymond Green	64	63	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.29	-3	1	-4	15.7	14.7	1.03	14.1	12.9	1.17
Brad Wanamaker	70	69	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.53	15	-17	32	15.1	16.0	-0.89	13.5	14.1	-0.63
Eric Paschall	62	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.51	4	-6	10	14.7	16.4	-1.72	13.8	13.5	0.34
Mychal Mulder	32	32	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.13	-22	20	-42	16.9	14.7	2.24	14.3	13.4	0.96
Kelly Oubre Jr.	76	75	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.50	-7	5	-12	15.2	15.8	-0.60	14.0	12.7	1.36
Andrew Wiggins	71	68	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.62	-5	3	-8	15.6	14.9	0.68	13.3	14.5	-1.16
Juan Toscano-Anderson	31	30	-1.21	0.71	-1.93	-0.69	-18	16	-34	15.5	15.3	0.15	14.5	13.4	1.11

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles Bridges	45	47	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.61	3	-1	4	13.1	14.2	-1.04	15.6	15.2	0.33
Terry Rozier	78	80	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.44	8	-6	14	14.1	11.9	2.19	15.3	15.8	-0.52
P.J. Washington	65	67	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.53	4	-2	6	14.0	13.0	1.00	15.3	15.5	-0.16
Gordon Hayward	68	70	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.48	1	1	0	13.6	13.9	-0.25	14.9	16.4	-1.46
LaMelo Ball	66	68	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.42	-3	5	-8	13.5	14.2	-0.73	15.5	15.2	0.33
Malik Monk	47	45	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.10	3	-1	4	12.9	14.5	-1.62	15.3	15.4	-0.08
Jalen McDaniels	36	38	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	5	-8	14.1	13.4	0.70	16.1	15.0	1.08
Bismack Biyombo	41	42	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.03	-3	5	-8	14.0	13.5	0.57	15.1	15.6	-0.49
Cody Zeller	44	43	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.18	0	2	-2	13.7	13.7	-0.02	15.7	15.1	0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.51,0.39,0.33,0.48,0.64,0.68,0.54,0.48,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.32,0.31,0.12,0.06,0.14,0.15,0.23,0.17,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 97, CHH 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.44,0.35,0.41,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.5,0.31,0.4,0.28,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.19,0.21,0.43,0.16,1	91.6%
POR 97, SEA 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.23,0.08,1	91.5%
NYK 91, SAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.26,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.29,0.06,0.27,1	91.0%