NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	122		Excitement	2.5 [1244]		MVP	Derrick Jones Jr. (LAC): +13.0%
LA Clippers	97		Comeback	1.0 [345]		LVP	James Harden (LAC): -10.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.00	0.01	13	70%	0.12	3	-0.02	11	73%	-0.01
Austin Reaves	0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.00	-0.02	13	69%	0.12	3	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Rui Hachimura	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.13	0.00	0.04	14	67%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dalton Knecht	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.11	0.00	0.06	9	78%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Vincent	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	10	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	46%	0.02	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jarred Vanderbilt	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.03	3	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Shake Milton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	3	67%	0.01	4	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Trey Jemison III	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Bronny James	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.00	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Armel Traore	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.00	0.01	10	77%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Norman Powell	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	15	59%	0.08	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Kobe Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bones Hyland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.10	0.00	0.10	5	100%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terance Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Coffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	0.00	0.04	5	67%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Kevin Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	44%	-0.00	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	0.04	11	46%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	12	26%	-0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.8	25.2	16.3	29.6	3.4	28.3	133.5
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +42.5%

LAC -1.0%

LAL +5.0%

LAL +2.5%

LAL +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	LAC	NBA	LAL	LAC	NBA
this game	15.2	14.8	14.4	127.1	101.0	113.0
season	15.0	14.9		114.1	113.8
opponent	14.4	14.3		109.1	113.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.9	15.5	14.8	17.6	15.2
LAC	16.5	15.2	14.6	13.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	65	64	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.20	19	6	13	14.6	16.5	-1.88	14.9	14.7	0.16
Rui Hachimura	68	68	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.11	15	10	5	15.5	14.4	1.16	15.1	14.0	1.11
Jaxson Hayes	49	49	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.08	14	11	3	14.0	16.4	-2.45	14.3	15.4	-1.10
Jarred Vanderbilt	34	35	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.32	21	4	17	15.7	14.9	0.77	15.9	14.2	1.63
Austin Reaves	61	61	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.01	9	16	-7	14.8	15.9	-1.07	14.7	15.1	-0.41
Dalton Knecht	39	39	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.19	15	10	5	16.0	14.6	1.43	15.6	14.3	1.29
Shake Milton	40	40	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.10	12	13	-1	14.7	15.5	-0.78	14.4	15.1	-0.77
Dorian Finney-Smith	48	49	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.16	13	12	1	15.2	15.1	0.15	15.2	14.5	0.70
Gabe Vincent	42	42	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.08	10	15	-5	16.0	14.6	1.38	15.7	14.2	1.50
Trey Jemison III	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	26	-27	15.3	15.2	0.11	12.1	15.2	-3.09
Bronny James	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	26	-27	17.6	14.8	2.75	12.1	15.2	-3.09
Armel Traore	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	26	-27	15.3	15.2	0.11	12.1	15.2	-3.09

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Brown	13	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-25	25	12.5	15.2	-2.64	17.0	14.9	2.13
Patty Mills	13	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-25	25	12.5	15.2	-2.64	17.0	14.9	2.13
Drew Eubanks	13	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-25	25	12.5	15.2	-2.64	17.0	14.9	2.13
Bones Hyland	13	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-25	25	12.5	15.2	-2.64	17.0	14.9	2.13
Derrick Jones Jr.	46	45	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-25	25	14.5	15.1	-0.54	15.0	15.3	-0.25
Terance Mann	24	24	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.09	-9	-16	7	15.2	14.7	0.57	15.9	14.9	0.99
Kris Dunn	36	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.04	-9	-16	7	14.5	15.0	-0.56	15.5	15.0	0.49
Ivica Zubac	56	55	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.02	-9	-16	7	15.3	14.1	1.20	14.6	16.0	-1.35
Kevin Porter Jr.	27	27	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.24	-17	-8	-9	15.3	14.6	0.66	14.7	15.3	-0.61
Norman Powell	63	63	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.11	-13	-12	-1	14.2	16.1	-1.93	15.2	15.1	0.09
Nicolas Batum	29	30	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.27	-19	-6	-13	15.8	14.4	1.44	14.6	15.4	-0.79
Kawhi Leonard	46	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.06	-12	-13	1	16.0	13.7	2.26	14.7	15.6	-0.88
Amir Coffey	40	40	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.31	-21	-4	-17	16.0	14.0	2.06	15.4	15.0	0.38
James Harden	61	60	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.13	-16	-9	-7	14.9	14.7	0.17	14.3	16.7	-2.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 100, NYK 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.33,0.29,0.24,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	97.4%
GSW 132, IND 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
MEM 111, NYK 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%