NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	100		Excitement	2.4 [1259]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +15.7%
New York Knicks	91		Comeback	1.1 [1186]		LVP	Wilson Chandler (NYK): -8.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.00	-0.04	17	77%	0.21	7	-0.05	9	78%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	11	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Anderson Varejao	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	67%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Anthony Parker	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.03	3	87%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
JJ Hickson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	4	67%	0.03	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	58%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mo Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	60%	0.01	4	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jamario Moon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.12	0.00	-0.08	6	21%	-0.03	3	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	17	55%	0.04	4	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.09	-0.00	0.11	10	74%	0.02	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	0.06	0.00	0.09	13	62%	-0.00	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0.04	14	47%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	-0.04	6	0%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	12	46%	-0.03	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	3.6	33.0	20.0	27.2	3.7	26.2	140.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +37.7%

CLE +1.9%

CLE +7.4%

CLE +0.6%

CLE +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NYK	NBA	CLE	NYK	NBA
this game	17.4	12.4	15.3	104.2	93.8	106.0
season	16.1	14.7		109.5	105.9
opponent	15.5	15.0		109.9	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.8	16.7	18.3	19.2	17.4
NYK	11.9	13.3	12.4	12.1	12.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	46	47	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.16	20	-11	31	18.7	16.3	2.31	13.0	11.9	1.12
Anderson Varejao	67	68	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.22	6	3	3	18.1	15.9	2.17	12.5	12.3	0.21
Delonte West	44	43	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.08	16	-7	23	18.1	16.9	1.23	13.0	11.9	1.08
LeBron James	72	74	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.17	7	2	5	16.5	20.2	-3.62	12.4	12.6	-0.19
Daniel Gibson	37	38	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.05	7	2	5	19.9	15.9	3.93	12.3	12.5	-0.18
Mo Williams	67	68	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.31	-2	11	-13	16.4	19.8	-3.36	12.3	12.7	-0.38
Jamario Moon	28	27	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.22	-3	12	-15	19.3	16.7	2.59	12.0	12.6	-0.64
Anthony Parker	49	51	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	11	-13	16.8	18.1	-1.29	12.0	12.9	-0.93
JJ Hickson	29	28	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	6	-3	15.9	18.1	-2.17	12.7	12.3	0.41
Shaquille O'Neal	41	41	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.26	-7	16	-23	16.0	18.6	-2.61	12.0	12.7	-0.65

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Hill	10	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-8	7	14.8	12.1	2.65	12.4	18.0	-5.63
Darko Milicic	11	9	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.14	-10	1	-11	11.2	12.6	-1.40	18.4	17.3	1.10
Wilson Chandler	63	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	-6	3	12.4	12.5	-0.07	17.9	16.6	1.24
Toney Douglas	29	28	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.13	-13	4	-17	12.6	12.3	0.28	18.6	17.0	1.69
Chris Duhon	79	80	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.40	5	-14	19	12.4	12.3	0.11	17.2	18.4	-1.19
Jared Jeffries	31	29	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.15	-15	6	-21	13.8	11.8	2.08	18.6	17.0	1.63
Danilo Gallinari	66	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-8	7	11.9	13.5	-1.51	16.7	19.2	-2.47
Larry Hughes	76	74	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.37	2	-11	13	11.8	14.8	-3.05	17.9	16.1	1.76
David Lee	72	74	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-8	7	12.1	13.4	-1.32	16.7	19.9	-3.19
Al Harrington	48	47	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.13	-8	-1	-7	13.4	11.5	1.93	18.3	16.7	1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.33,0.29,0.24,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 95, CHI 69	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
MEM 111, NYK 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
CLE 107, NYK 93	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	97.2%