NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	116		Excitement	10.2 [40]		MVP	Guerschon Yabusele (PHI): +22.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	118		Comeback	3.3 [300]		LVP	Kessler Edwards (DAL): -20.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Max Christie	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.00	8	83%	0.17	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Klay Thompson	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	11	52%	0.12	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Naji Marshall	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.34,0.07	0.07	-0.01	-0.01	13	54%	0.07	0	0.00	9	78%	0.03
Kyrie Irving	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.19,0.25,0.18,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.14	-0.08	0.01	21	64%	0.25	3	-0.19	11	91%	0.06
Dante Exum	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	10	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Gafford	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	10	55%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Kylor Kelley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Spencer Dinwiddie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kessler Edwards	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.2,-0.2	-0.07	-0.14	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Guerschon Yabusele	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.16	0.08	0.02	8	90%	0.25	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	-0.00	0.13	0.00	9	50%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justin Edwards	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	13	62%	0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Adem Bona	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Council IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Dowtin Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.26,-0.05	-0.05	0.15	-0.21	-0.00	22	67%	0.20	3	-0.25	5	80%	-0.00
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.15,-0.06,-0.21,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	23	53%	0.16	5	-0.24	9	44%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.4	29.8	13.8	27.3	2.5	32.2	135.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.2	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +50.9%

DAL -19.2%

PHI +16.0%

DAL -10.6%

PHI +12.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHI	NBA	DAL	PHI	NBA
this game	14.2	16.0	14.4	122.1	122.9	112.6
season	14.3	15.2		115.1	110.2
opponent	14.2	14.5		114.9	112.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.2	13.6	14.9	13.9	14.2
PHI	15.8	16.3	15.1	16.8	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Gafford	64	65	0.41	-0.91	1.33	0.06	12	-14	26	14.4	13.6	0.78	16.0	15.8	0.21
Klay Thompson	59	61	0.15	-0.65	0.81	-0.34	17	-19	36	14.4	13.7	0.67	16.0	16.0	0.01
Kylor Kelley	9	9	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	2	-6	15.6	14.0	1.53	14.7	16.1	-1.45
Kessler Edwards	48	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.09	-4	2	-6	14.0	14.3	-0.26	16.1	15.8	0.29
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	16	16	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	1	-4	17.5	13.5	4.01	16.3	15.9	0.40
Dante Exum	41	40	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.45	2	-4	6	15.0	13.5	1.46	14.9	16.7	-1.85
Max Christie	61	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.43	1	-3	4	13.7	15.0	-1.34	16.5	14.9	1.66
Spencer Dinwiddie	42	44	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.04	-15	13	-28	13.8	14.5	-0.73	16.1	15.9	0.21
Naji Marshall	51	51	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.39	-8	6	-14	13.1	15.4	-2.35	16.0	15.9	0.09
Kyrie Irving	84	84	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.41	-8	6	-14	13.9	16.3	-2.38	15.9	16.3	-0.40

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Edwards	75	76	1.09	-0.59	1.68	0.42	23	-21	44	15.5	17.8	-2.34	14.1	14.3	-0.18
Tyrese Maxey	82	82	0.93	-0.43	1.37	0.41	18	-16	34	15.5	18.9	-3.45	13.7	16.9	-3.19
Guerschon Yabusele	73	73	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.28	7	-5	12	15.7	16.8	-1.06	13.3	17.0	-3.68
Kelly Oubre Jr.	79	81	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.45	0	2	-2	16.4	14.0	2.41	14.4	13.0	1.37
Adem Bona	15	15	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.01	1	1	0	17.1	15.8	1.37	14.9	14.0	0.91
Joel Embiid	74	71	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.39	-12	14	-26	15.9	16.2	-0.26	13.5	16.2	-2.79
Ricky Council IV	39	37	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	3	-4	16.2	15.8	0.38	15.5	13.3	2.20
Reggie Jackson	28	25	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.21	-9	11	-20	17.2	15.5	1.74	16.4	13.4	2.97
Jeff Dowtin Jr.	15	15	-0.52	1.02	-1.54	-0.02	-17	19	-36	16.5	15.9	0.66	15.4	13.9	1.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.3,0.32,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.27,0.24,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.73,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 90, IND 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.41,0.25,0.32,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.23,0.35,0.48,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.74,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.63,0.68,0.74,1	90.3%
SAC 83, GSW 87	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.59,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.6,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.7,0.57,0.69,0.81,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.68,0.64,0.84,0.27,1	89.7%
ATL 109, HOU 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.2,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.39,0.32,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.61,0.38,0.54,0.77,0.73,1	89.7%