NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	97		Excitement	9.9 [80]		MVP	D'Angelo Russell (BKN): +42.7%
Brooklyn Nets	99		Comeback	89.1 [17]		LVP	Amen Thompson (HOU): -18.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alperen Sengun	0.21	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.21	-0.02	0.24	0.01	18	48%	0.31	3	-0.09	14	57%	-0.05
Cam Whitmore	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.00	11	55%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.03	0.03	0.02	11	57%	0.09	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.04
Jae'Sean Tate	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	56%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Reed Sheppard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.04	0.00	14	52%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Steven Adams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Green	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17	-0.06	-0.10	0.01	14	45%	-0.10	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Amen Thompson	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18	-0.14	-0.10	-0.06	6	50%	0.11	7	-0.29	2	50%	-0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,0.43	0.43	-0.09	0.47	-0.04	15	30%	0.49	1	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Day'Ron Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.08	-0.00	4	80%	0.16	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Tyrese Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	6	71%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tosan Evbuomwan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	11	64%	0.14	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Keon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.05,0.05,-0.04,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.00	0.03	16	58%	0.07	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Ziaire Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	5	67%	0.14	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Reece Beekman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.07	0.00	4	25%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nic Claxton	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.00	10	67%	0.05	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Jalen Wilson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	5	64%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Trendon Watford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	6	33%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.3	29.5	14.4	26.3	1.8	43.0	141.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +84.3%

HOU -14.1%

HOU -39.5%

BKN +14.4%

BKN +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	BKN	NBA	HOU	BKN	NBA
this game	16.7	15.0	14.4	106.6	108.8	113.1
season	14.7	15.3		114.2	107.6
opponent	14.4	14.2		114.9	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	18.7	16.3	16.2	15.9	16.7
BKN	18.2	12.5	14.3	15.4	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alperen Sengun	64	65	0.49	-0.99	1.48	0.25	8	-10	18	17.3	15.3	2.02	15.1	14.7	0.44
Reed Sheppard	54	53	0.35	-0.85	1.19	0.26	3	-5	8	16.2	17.3	-1.08	15.2	14.6	0.62
Amen Thompson	76	76	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.38	10	-12	22	16.3	18.8	-2.54	15.4	12.8	2.59
Steven Adams	25	27	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	3	-8	16.1	16.9	-0.77	14.4	15.2	-0.74
Cam Whitmore	43	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	0	-2	18.0	15.5	2.50	15.1	14.9	0.20
Jalen Green	64	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-1	0	16.5	17.2	-0.72	15.1	14.7	0.35
Dillon Brooks	72	71	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	1	-4	16.1	19.0	-2.93	14.9	15.0	-0.11
Aaron Holiday	27	28	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.73	-4	2	-6	16.9	16.6	0.30	14.4	15.2	-0.83
Jae'Sean Tate	30	29	-1.17	0.67	-1.84	-0.70	-16	14	-30	17.6	16.2	1.32	13.8	15.5	-1.72

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tosan Evbuomwan	54	53	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.57	7	-5	12	14.5	15.7	-1.24	16.8	16.5	0.36
Nic Claxton	54	56	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.32	6	-4	10	14.4	15.7	-1.29	15.8	18.0	-2.19
Tyrese Martin	38	37	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.13	10	-8	18	14.5	15.3	-0.85	17.8	15.9	1.90
Reece Beekman	37	39	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.10	11	-9	20	14.8	15.1	-0.26	18.8	15.1	3.79
Keon Johnson	55	57	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.29	-3	5	-8	15.0	14.9	0.08	15.9	17.9	-2.01
Trendon Watford	34	35	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.04	8	-6	14	15.6	14.6	1.04	17.1	16.4	0.61
Ziaire Williams	57	57	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.37	-8	10	-18	15.2	14.5	0.70	16.3	17.4	-1.12
D'Angelo Russell	54	52	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.33	-7	9	-16	15.1	14.8	0.26	15.1	18.8	-3.79
Day'Ron Sharpe	37	35	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	6	-10	15.7	14.4	1.29	18.0	15.8	2.19
Jalen Wilson	35	34	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.01	-10	12	-22	15.2	14.8	0.33	16.8	16.6	0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.61,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.39,0.52,0.66,0.76,0.63,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.62,0.7,0.77,0.64,0.7,0.6,0.75,0.36,0.29,0.07,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 97, CHA 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.74,0.82,0.92,0.85,0.9,0.76,0.6,0.55,0.28,0.43,0.16,1	90.1%
POR 79, PHX 84	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.43,0.56,0.58,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.73,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.22,0.27,1	90.0%
ORL 109, MIL 114	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.7,0.57,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.55,0.55,0.17,1	89.8%