inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 97 Excitement9.8 [70] MVPKemba Walker (CHA): +15.3%
Charlotte Bobcats 98 Comeback8.3 [176] LVPKyle Lowry (TOR): -25.8%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jonas Valanciunas0.100,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.10.090.020.011173%0.131-0.0300%0.00
Terrence Ross0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.060.04-0.00961%0.1000.0000%0.00
Andrea Bargnani0.100,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.10.12-0.03-0.011764%0.131-0.035100%0.03
Ed Davis0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Amir Johnson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.00125%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Dominic McGuire-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0010%-0.0300.0020%-0.02
Linas Kleiza-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.09-0.040.0030%-0.062-0.0600%0.00
DeMar DeRozan-0.160,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.14,-0.16-0.08-0.09-0.011348%-0.025-0.14367%-0.07
Jose Calderon-0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.2-0.05-0.15-0.00841%-0.132-0.061100%0.00
Kyle Lowry-0.260,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.260.04-0.30-0.001557%-0.173-0.09771%-0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kemba Walker0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.150.150.010.14-0.011654%0.304-0.15367%0.02
Jeff Taylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.060.060.00861%0.1100.002100%0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.090.020.01767%0.1000.00786%-0.01
Ramon Sessions0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0.050.05-0.120.16-0.021933%0.112-0.064100%0.06
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00460%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Bismack Biyombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.04-0.050.00679%0.162-0.17250%-0.01
Hakim Warrick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Ben Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.07-0.011150%-0.012-0.074100%0.02
Byron Mullens0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.10-0.10-0.011431%-0.161-0.03450%-0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.71.734.013.824.11.837.8140.9
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHA +41.1%
CHA +29.4%
TOR -2.0%
TOR -13.3%
TOR -5.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORCHANBATORCHANBA
this game15.315.815.4106.6104.3104.1
season16.115.6104.499.9
opponent15.415.3109.8105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR15.715.014.716.115.3
CHA17.013.814.119.015.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jonas Valanciunas65670.34-0.841.180.108-91715.714.41.3116.115.01.13
Jose Calderon4246-0.01-0.490.49-0.124-5914.915.7-0.8616.715.01.74
DeMar DeRozan7271-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.343-4715.714.11.6015.516.7-1.12
Andrea Bargnani6365-0.25-0.25-0.01-0.374-5915.614.70.9215.616.2-0.53
Ed Davis2425-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.07-76-1315.215.4-0.1514.416.3-1.97
Linas Kleiza2425-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.10-76-1314.815.5-0.7214.816.2-1.43
Terrence Ross2930-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.12-76-1313.716.1-2.4417.115.21.85
Kyle Lowry6971-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.453-4715.714.11.6215.118.1-3.07
Dominic McGuire4648-0.520.02-0.53-0.40-43-715.515.10.4517.014.62.43
Amir Johnson2122-0.540.04-0.58-0.48-21-314.315.6-1.2815.316.0-0.70

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bismack Biyombo52490.91-0.411.320.5911-102115.016.8-1.7715.115.6-0.47
Ramon Sessions66630.69-0.190.880.439-81715.416.7-1.3415.016.0-0.93
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist58560.390.110.280.45-23-516.614.52.1715.714.70.98
Ben Gordon44430.380.120.270.129-81717.214.62.5814.915.7-0.82
Jeff Taylor57560.290.210.070.52-89-1716.215.21.0215.814.51.35
Kemba Walker78750.210.29-0.090.35-56-1115.318.2-2.9415.315.20.16
Hakim Warrick1516-0.010.51-0.53-0.0101-115.215.9-0.7214.315.5-1.22
Brendan Haywood5148-0.120.62-0.74-0.00-45-915.815.80.0315.315.4-0.10
Byron Mullens4949-0.230.73-0.97-0.09-56-1115.516.2-0.7115.615.00.59


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.74,0.82,0.92,0.85,0.9,0.76,0.6,0.55,0.28,0.43,0.16,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 87, POR 890.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.46,0.67,0.59,189.3%
POR 82, WAS 840.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.37,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.85,0.84,0.93,0.96,0.91,0.83,0.76,0.66,0.62,0.55,0.67,0.42,189.1%
LAC 100, ATL 1010.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.75,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.47,0.36,0.16,0.27,189.1%