NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	104		Excitement	3.0 [746]		MVP	Jalen Wilson (BKN): +9.3%
Charlotte Hornets	83		Comeback	1.0 [407]		LVP	Nick Smith Jr. (CHA): -10.2%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Wilson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.13	0.01	0.05	8	83%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ziaire Williams	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.01	10	65%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nic Claxton	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	6	67%	0.09	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.00
Tosan Evbuomwan	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	0.00	0.06	8	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Trendon Watford	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	9	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Day'Ron Sharpe	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	45%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Keon Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	18	45%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Ben Simmons	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.05	3	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Reece Beekman	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	8	37%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Moussa Diabate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.03	6	72%	0.04	1	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Wong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	6	57%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	21	47%	0.02	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
DaQuan Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vasilije Micic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	10	68%	0.02	4	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.12	0.00	-0.10	4	0%	-0.02	2	-0.00	2	0%	-0.00
KJ Simpson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.12	-0.00	-0.08	10	27%	-0.02	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Nick Smith Jr.	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.18	-0.01	-0.09	10	10%	-0.07	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.3	31.6	14.4	29.2	2.0	26.0	130.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.2	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +37.0%

BKN +4.1%

BKN +2.3%

BKN +5.5%

BKN +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	CHA	NBA	BKN	CHA	NBA
this game	15.8	15.9	14.4	114.3	91.2	112.6
season	15.3	14.9		107.9	107.5
opponent	14.3	14.4		112.9	113.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	15.0	15.7	14.8	17.6	15.8
CHA	17.0	15.0	18.0	13.7	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ziaire Williams	63	64	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.00	15	6	9	15.0	17.5	-2.45	16.0	15.5	0.51
D'Angelo Russell	46	45	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.05	16	5	11	14.3	17.3	-2.96	14.9	16.9	-2.00
Tosan Evbuomwan	53	54	0.39	0.12	0.27	-0.26	22	-1	23	16.0	15.5	0.46	16.3	15.3	0.98
Nic Claxton	56	54	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	12	-3	16.7	14.3	2.46	14.2	18.3	-4.12
Jalen Wilson	63	65	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.08	14	7	7	16.6	13.9	2.76	15.8	16.2	-0.38
Trendon Watford	32	32	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.20	13	8	5	15.3	16.0	-0.75	17.6	14.9	2.69
Keon Johnson	63	61	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.01	6	15	-9	16.1	14.9	1.21	15.1	17.5	-2.47
Day'Ron Sharpe	17	18	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.04	6	15	-9	14.4	16.1	-1.67	19.5	15.0	4.51
Ben Simmons	39	41	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	18	-15	15.9	15.7	0.22	18.2	13.9	4.30
Reece Beekman	23	21	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	20	-19	16.1	15.6	0.48	13.2	16.7	-3.50

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moussa Diabate	49	49	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.18	3	-24	27	15.0	16.9	-1.86	17.6	13.6	4.04
Isaiah Wong	36	36	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-19	17	15.1	16.4	-1.27	16.4	15.4	1.03
Seth Curry	27	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-17	13	16.7	15.5	1.12	16.0	15.7	0.33
Vasilije Micic	53	53	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-17	13	15.8	16.0	-0.21	16.4	14.8	1.59
KJ Simpson	48	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.03	-7	-14	7	15.3	16.5	-1.20	16.8	14.6	2.18
Taj Gibson	35	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.29	-19	-2	-17	18.0	14.6	3.40	13.8	17.0	-3.15
Josh Okogie	51	52	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.08	-14	-7	-7	15.1	16.8	-1.69	15.2	16.5	-1.26
Nick Smith Jr.	56	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.29	-22	1	-23	15.6	16.3	-0.75	15.1	16.8	-1.71
DaQuan Jeffries	39	39	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.07	-15	-6	-9	16.4	15.5	0.88	14.6	16.6	-2.02
Miles Bridges	61	61	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.15	-21	0	-21	16.6	14.5	2.06	15.3	16.6	-1.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 95, LAC 64	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
SAS 117, PHX 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.21,0.24,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
BOS 114, WAS 81	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.28,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%