NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	92		Excitement	5.5 [454]		MVP	De'Andre Hunter (ATL): +15.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	100		Comeback	1.0 [772]		LVP	Onyeka Okongwu (ATL): -10.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Andre Hunter	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16	0.20	0.03	0.07	21	70%	0.23	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
Garrison Mathews	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	75%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zaccharie Risacher	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	13	39%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
David Roddy	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.02	7	62%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Dominick Barlow	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vit Krejci	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.11	-0.00	-0.04	6	33%	-0.01	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Keaton Wallace	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	12	50%	0.02	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Mouhamed Gueye	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	9	22%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	-0.00	-0.03	9	32%	-0.02	4	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.05	-0.01	9	83%	0.20	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.01	0.02	9	72%	0.12	1	-0.02	7	57%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	7	62%	0.09	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Edwards	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.05	20	43%	0.09	3	-0.05	13	69%	-0.01
Rob Dillingham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	42%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Julius Randle	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	17	54%	0.11	5	-0.12	3	100%	0.01
Josh Minott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	7	36%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	0.02	-0.03	9	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.8	25.2	15.3	30.6	2.5	39.2	139.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.2	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +23.7%

MIN +11.5%

MIN +8.1%

MIN +7.3%

ATL -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIN	NBA	ATL	MIN	NBA
this game	13.3	14.7	14.4	88.5	98.0	112.6
season	13.2	14.7		110.6	113.0
opponent	14.6	14.3		109.6	113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.7	15.0	11.7	13.0	13.3
MIN	15.1	14.3	13.2	16.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clint Capela	47	47	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.24	6	-14	20	13.2	13.4	-0.20	14.4	14.9	-0.50
Mouhamed Gueye	37	36	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.37	9	-17	26	13.6	13.1	0.53	17.0	13.4	3.60
David Roddy	40	39	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	-5	2	13.9	12.9	0.97	14.0	15.1	-1.17
Dominick Barlow	21	22	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-5	2	11.8	13.7	-1.84	12.4	15.3	-2.97
Zaccharie Risacher	43	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-4	0	13.8	12.9	0.83	14.8	14.6	0.13
Garrison Mathews	57	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.02	-9	1	-10	13.5	13.0	0.43	14.0	15.5	-1.47
Keaton Wallace	77	75	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.14	-7	-1	-6	13.1	13.7	-0.57	14.4	15.6	-1.27
De'Andre Hunter	67	65	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-4	0	13.0	13.9	-0.91	15.2	13.8	1.43
Onyeka Okongwu	58	55	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.02	-14	6	-20	13.3	13.3	-0.01	14.9	14.4	0.50
Vit Krejci	73	72	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.15	-11	3	-14	13.3	13.3	0.03	15.0	14.0	0.99

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gobert	80	83	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.26	8	0	8	15.4	12.2	3.21	13.1	13.9	-0.72
Mike Conley	68	67	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.29	7	1	6	15.4	13.4	1.97	13.0	13.7	-0.66
Julius Randle	80	79	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.16	9	-1	10	14.4	15.9	-1.55	12.8	14.8	-1.95
Anthony Edwards	76	78	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.13	8	0	8	14.7	14.8	-0.15	12.9	14.5	-1.58
Jaden McDaniels	70	71	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.30	0	8	-8	15.4	13.2	2.15	13.1	13.6	-0.52
Naz Reid	61	63	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.18	4	4	0	13.8	16.0	-2.26	14.0	12.2	1.75
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	46	48	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.07	5	3	2	14.1	15.2	-1.07	13.7	12.9	0.72
Rob Dillingham	23	24	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	8	-8	13.1	15.2	-2.02	13.5	13.2	0.29
Josh Minott	15	16	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	12	-16	14.7	14.7	0.04	15.0	13.0	2.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.74,0.82,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 105, SAS 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.9,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
TOR 86, SAC 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.76,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.89,0.81,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1	94.9%
MIL 93, ORL 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.8%