NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	117		Excitement	6.8 [265]		MVP	James Harden (LAC): +35.7%
LA Clippers	127		Comeback	2.4 [345]		LVP	Ryan Rollins (MIL): -9.3%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Trent Jr.	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.05	0.03	11	86%	0.24	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.06	-0.02	16	59%	0.26	4	-0.13	17	94%	0.07
Brook Lopez	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	10	59%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Taurean Prince	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.13	-0.02	0.02	8	87%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.08	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	-0.01	0.01	22	61%	0.23	4	-0.15	15	80%	0.02
Tyler Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Umude	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
MarJon Beauchamp	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Jackson Jr.	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	3	67%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Rollins	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.06,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.27	0.12	0.04	24	67%	0.39	1	-0.03	12	100%	0.06
Norman Powell	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.15	0.11	0.02	23	61%	0.26	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.04
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	17	53%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	10	55%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Amir Coffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	64%	0.07	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Kevin Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kobe Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Terance Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	2.4	30.6	15.7	26.3	2.3	36.3	142.2
league avg	25.7	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.2	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +2.4%

MIL -0.6%

LAC +19.2%

LAC +27.5%

LAC +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	LAC	NBA	MIL	LAC	NBA
this game	13.2	14.5	14.4	113.6	121.0	112.3
season	14.4	14.8		113.2	110.3
opponent	14.1	14.3		106.9	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	11.9	12.3	15.8	13.2	13.2
LAC	15.3	14.3	14.9	13.5	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pat Connaughton	18	21	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.10	7	-17	24	12.9	13.3	-0.38	15.2	14.3	0.89
Tyler Smith	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-12	14	14.0	13.2	0.81	21.5	14.3	7.16
Stanley Umude	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-12	14	14.0	13.2	0.81	21.5	14.3	7.16
MarJon Beauchamp	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-12	14	14.0	13.2	0.81	21.5	14.3	7.16
Andre Jackson Jr.	23	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.02	-2	-8	6	13.8	13.0	0.75	15.7	14.1	1.62
Damian Lillard	85	87	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.16	-1	-9	8	13.0	14.1	-1.10	14.8	12.9	1.92
Brook Lopez	88	89	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.21	0	-10	10	13.1	13.9	-0.78	14.9	12.1	2.85
Giannis Antetokounmpo	74	75	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	0	-10	13.1	13.6	-0.48	14.9	13.4	1.55
Gary Trent Jr.	74	73	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	1	-12	12.9	13.9	-1.01	14.1	15.3	-1.25
Taurean Prince	80	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	0	-10	13.5	12.3	1.16	14.3	15.3	-1.00
Ryan Rollins	22	24	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	3	-16	14.3	12.9	1.42	12.4	15.1	-2.67
Khris Middleton	45	45	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.04	-16	6	-22	13.2	13.2	-0.01	12.4	16.0	-3.56

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Porter Jr.	55	51	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.21	15	-5	20	13.4	15.6	-2.18	13.7	12.7	1.03
Derrick Jones Jr.	63	63	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.25	11	-1	12	14.1	15.0	-0.87	12.9	13.7	-0.85
Amir Coffey	69	66	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.07	17	-7	24	13.6	16.2	-2.61	13.4	12.8	0.61
James Harden	76	76	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.06	12	-2	14	14.9	13.5	1.37	13.1	13.4	-0.23
Terance Mann	33	32	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.20	3	7	-4	12.4	15.4	-2.99	13.6	13.0	0.61
Nicolas Batum	37	39	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.01	7	3	4	13.3	15.1	-1.78	13.1	13.2	-0.12
Norman Powell	79	77	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.26	-5	15	-20	14.9	13.2	1.76	13.1	13.5	-0.45
Ivica Zubac	60	60	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.13	5	5	0	15.5	13.1	2.47	12.7	13.8	-1.09
Kobe Brown	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	12	-14	21.5	14.3	7.16	14.0	13.2	0.81
Kawhi Leonard	51	49	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	0.06	-13	23	-36	16.6	12.4	4.22	13.4	13.1	0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.31,0.38,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.6,0.52,0.47,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.52,0.54,0.38,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 102, GSW 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.38,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.73,0.83,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.94,1,1	93.1%
ORL 103, SAC 111	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.71,0.83,0.88,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.95,1	92.7%
SAS 86, POR 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.28,0.36,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.7,0.8,0.9,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	92.5%