NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	135		Excitement	7.3 [400]		MVP	Darius Garland (CLE): +30.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	131		Comeback	1.5 [388]		LVP	Ty Jerome (CLE): -11.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amen Thompson	0.28	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.28	0.06	0.23	0.01	13	64%	0.35	3	-0.06	10	70%	0.05
Fred VanVleet	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.14	0.11	0.04	0.01	13	71%	0.20	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Dillon Brooks	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.02	-0.01	8	72%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Steven Adams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.02	6	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.02
Alperen Sengun	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05	0.10	-0.05	-0.01	17	55%	0.05	0	0.00	13	54%	-0.09
Jalen Green	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.04,0.04	0.14	-0.07	0.03	16	67%	0.07	2	-0.03	7	100%	0.02
Jae'Sean Tate	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	70%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.01
Tari Eason	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Whitmore	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Garland	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.32,0.31	0.31	0.24	0.14	0.08	22	76%	0.38	3	-0.07	7	100%	0.11
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.23	0.06	0.01	9	105%	0.28	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.04,0.08	0.08	0.11	-0.03	-0.00	27	52%	0.23	1	-0.15	9	78%	-0.05
Max Strus	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.13	0.01	0.06	8	87%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	80%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Merrill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Evan Mobley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	8	35%	-0.03	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02
Craig Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ty Jerome	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	8	30%	-0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	25.4	15.3	34.4	1.5	39.4	143.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +7.5%

CLE -2.4%

HOU +27.0%

HOU +13.8%

HOU +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	CLE	NBA	HOU	CLE	NBA
this game	15.7	13.2	14.4	135.0	131.0	113.1
season	14.7	13.7		114.2	120.5
opponent	14.9	14.2		110.9	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.4	16.0	15.3	16.8	15.7
CLE	15.0	12.8	14.0	10.9	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amen Thompson	89	88	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.35	10	-6	16	15.1	19.9	-4.79	13.2	12.7	0.55
Dillon Brooks	69	69	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.46	2	2	0	15.9	15.2	0.66	12.3	14.9	-2.59
Jalen Green	79	78	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.30	5	-1	6	15.1	17.7	-2.61	12.9	14.0	-1.15
Steven Adams	33	31	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.09	7	-3	10	14.0	16.5	-2.51	14.4	12.6	1.79
Jae'Sean Tate	25	25	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	0	4	15.3	15.8	-0.44	14.6	12.7	1.88
Alperen Sengun	63	65	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.25	-2	6	-8	17.4	12.6	4.81	13.1	13.3	-0.21
Fred VanVleet	78	78	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.38	-7	11	-18	16.6	12.2	4.45	12.6	15.1	-2.55
Tari Eason	43	45	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	3	-2	14.8	16.3	-1.55	13.9	12.5	1.38
Cam Whitmore	21	21	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	4	-4	15.1	15.8	-0.64	13.6	13.0	0.59

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Allen	56	55	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.01	8	-12	20	13.8	12.3	1.53	17.5	13.4	4.17
Tristan Thompson	10	10	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-7	10	15.6	12.9	2.72	15.9	15.6	0.28
Craig Porter Jr.	10	10	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.04	1	-5	6	12.7	13.2	-0.50	19.4	15.2	4.17
Darius Garland	74	73	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.33	1	-5	6	12.8	14.1	-1.30	16.7	12.9	3.73
Max Strus	72	72	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.44	4	-8	12	12.8	13.9	-1.08	16.5	13.4	3.18
Georges Niang	63	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.32	-1	-3	2	12.4	14.5	-2.12	14.9	16.9	-2.06
Ty Jerome	37	37	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.07	-10	6	-16	14.6	12.3	2.38	14.1	16.6	-2.49
Sam Merrill	36	36	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.10	-16	12	-28	14.4	12.5	1.94	13.7	16.7	-3.06
Donovan Mitchell	79	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.36	-1	-3	2	12.8	14.3	-1.44	15.0	18.1	-3.06
Evan Mobley	63	64	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.39	-9	5	-14	12.6	14.2	-1.61	14.8	17.2	-2.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.19,0.16,0.33,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 91, DEN 89	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.19,0.2,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.21,0.32,0.1,0	93.5%
MIL 99, PHI 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.33,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.17,0.11,0.06,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.29,0.16,0.16,0.15,0	93.5%
UTA 93, SEA 87	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.05,0	93.0%