NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	93		Excitement	5.2 [785]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): +21.3%
Seattle SuperSonics	87		Comeback	1.3 [494]		LVP	Deron Williams (UTA): -14.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21	0.14	0.06	-0.01	16	71%	0.22	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jarron Collins	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12	0.08	0.03	0.00	3	83%	0.12	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Gordan Giricek	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.02	11	71%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Devin Brown	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.01	9	61%	0.07	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Greg Ostertag	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	10	43%	-0.01	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.19	-0.00	-0.05	8	17%	-0.09	4	-0.06	7	57%	-0.03

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	20	52%	0.12	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.01
Mateen Cleaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	3	90%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	5	33%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Nick Collison	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,-0.05,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.05	0.03	20	51%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	6	57%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Johan Petro	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.14	-0.00	-0.01	7	14%	-0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.7	37.0	16.0	25.4	2.4	31.5	136.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +31.7%

UTA +7.2%

UTA +13.6%

UTA +0.6%

SEA -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SEA	NBA	UTA	SEA	NBA
this game	18.1	14.8	15.6	105.7	100.0	104.4
season	17.0	15.0		101.7	108.9
opponent	15.8	15.0		112.2	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	21.6	15.2	16.5	19.7	18.1
SEA	14.4	13.6	17.8	13.6	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mehmet Okur	75	74	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.30	7	-1	8	17.7	20.5	-2.85	15.1	12.8	2.37
Devin Brown	58	56	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.30	5	1	4	16.7	20.9	-4.28	14.2	15.9	-1.74
Deron Williams	67	69	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.16	10	-4	14	18.3	17.5	0.84	15.1	13.7	1.34
Milt Palacio	51	47	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.18	7	-1	8	16.8	19.9	-3.11	14.0	15.7	-1.75
Jarron Collins	40	39	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.23	1	5	-4	16.7	19.2	-2.50	13.8	15.6	-1.79
Greg Ostertag	48	48	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	1	4	19.2	16.7	2.50	15.6	13.8	1.79
Gordan Giricek	50	50	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.34	-6	12	-18	19.1	16.8	2.38	15.4	14.0	1.41
Kris Humphries	43	44	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	6	-6	20.8	15.5	5.28	15.0	14.6	0.40
CJ Miles	8	8	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	5	-4	18.4	18.1	0.29	13.4	14.9	-1.55

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Evans	26	27	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.40	13	-19	32	16.2	14.2	1.96	18.8	17.8	1.01
Danny Fortson	9	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-5	4	13.2	15.0	-1.74	13.7	18.7	-5.01
Johan Petro	19	18	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	2	-10	14.2	15.0	-0.80	20.6	17.5	3.14
Vladimir Radmanovic	31	30	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.04	-9	3	-12	13.6	15.4	-1.87	17.2	18.6	-1.34
Mateen Cleaves	27	27	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-1	-4	14.7	14.8	-0.11	16.8	18.7	-1.87
Damien Wilkins	21	23	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.03	-7	1	-8	14.6	14.8	-0.28	15.7	19.0	-3.27
Vitaly Potapenko	26	26	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	2	-10	14.7	14.8	-0.07	17.0	18.6	-1.53
Nick Collison	63	64	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.29	1	-7	8	15.2	13.6	1.65	18.7	16.5	2.22
Luke Ridnour	60	61	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.24	-1	-5	4	14.8	14.7	0.11	18.7	16.8	1.87
Rashard Lewis	79	79	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.30	0	-6	6	14.6	16.2	-1.62	18.8	11.7	7.18
Ray Allen	74	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.31	-5	-1	-4	15.0	13.5	1.46	18.1	18.3	-0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 91, SEA 74	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.18,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
ATL 125, TOR 121	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.03,0,0	95.1%
UTA 102, POR 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%