NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	129		Excitement	9.0 [105]		MVP	Ty Jerome (CLE): +56.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	132		Comeback	4.0 [72]		LVP	Jarrett Allen (CLE): -16.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ty Jerome	0.56	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56	0.29	0.27	-0.00	14	103%	0.68	3	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01
Donovan Mitchell	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.21	0.17	0.09	0.05	23	69%	0.31	4	-0.10	8	75%	-0.02
Jaylon Tyson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.03	0.04	21	59%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Sam Merrill	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	60%	0.04	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.00
Max Strus	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Wade	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	6	42%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	8	44%	-0.05	3	-0.12	2	0%	-0.10

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.11	0.15	0.00	8	83%	0.27	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Paul George	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.15	0.02	21	67%	0.36	6	-0.15	3	67%	0.02
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.07	0.03	18	67%	0.24	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.08
Jeff Dowtin Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.07	0.00	3	83%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.01	8	68%	0.13	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.02	-0.00	16	59%	0.19	4	-0.16	5	100%	0.03
Adem Bona	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Guerschon Yabusele	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	12	46%	-0.05	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.7	1.8	27.3	15.4	24.3	2.5	44.4	144.4
league avg	25.7	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.2	134.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE -3.1%

PHI +33.3%

PHI +20.6%

CLE -4.1%

PHI +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHI	NBA	CLE	PHI	NBA
this game	12.6	16.1	14.4	127.7	132.0	112.4
season	13.7	15.3		121.4	110.5
opponent	14.1	14.8		114.5	111.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	12.9	13.9	11.7	12.0	12.6
PHI	16.0	16.7	15.4	16.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Merrill	37	36	0.24	-0.74	0.99	0.07	6	-9	15	12.3	12.7	-0.39	18.3	14.9	3.45
Jaylon Tyson	25	25	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-6	9	13.8	12.2	1.58	18.6	15.3	3.39
Tristan Thompson	19	19	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.08	0	-3	3	12.7	12.5	0.20	20.2	15.1	5.07
Max Strus	61	60	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.15	2	-5	7	12.5	12.7	-0.17	14.4	18.6	-4.25
Dean Wade	42	42	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	4	-11	12.8	12.4	0.36	15.5	16.5	-1.03
Jarrett Allen	72	70	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.22	0	-3	3	12.7	12.2	0.52	15.7	17.1	-1.48
Donovan Mitchell	71	70	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.41	3	-6	9	12.1	13.7	-1.60	17.1	13.7	3.38
Darius Garland	71	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.37	-4	1	-5	12.5	12.7	-0.18	14.8	19.2	-4.38
Ty Jerome	69	69	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.49	-1	-2	1	12.5	12.7	-0.12	16.2	15.9	0.33
Georges Niang	38	39	-0.97	0.47	-1.44	-0.47	-17	14	-31	12.6	12.6	0.05	14.8	16.9	-2.06

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	78	81	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.44	9	-6	15	16.3	15.5	0.83	12.2	13.9	-1.65
Tyrese Maxey	82	84	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.38	8	-5	13	15.8	17.3	-1.50	12.6	12.2	0.41
Kelly Oubre Jr.	81	81	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.19	13	-10	23	15.9	17.2	-1.31	13.1	10.5	2.59
Paul George	78	79	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.31	5	-2	7	15.3	18.8	-3.48	12.3	13.6	-1.36
Guerschon Yabusele	73	74	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.37	-3	6	-9	16.2	15.7	0.49	12.5	12.7	-0.23
Adem Bona	21	20	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.04	5	-2	7	16.8	15.9	0.84	13.8	12.3	1.59
Justin Edwards	54	54	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.27	-9	12	-21	16.6	15.5	1.15	12.2	13.0	-0.80
Jeff Dowtin Jr.	33	32	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.15	-13	16	-29	17.2	15.6	1.61	12.6	12.6	0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.37,0.47,0.56,0.65,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.34,0.3,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.53,0.24,0.53,0.77,0.93,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 83, ORL 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.45,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.6,0.54,0.75,0.93,0.96,1,1	91.3%
TOR 99, BOS 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.66,0.86,0.96,0.98,1,1	91.3%
HOU 103, POR 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.71,0.71,0.5,0.66,0.52,0.53,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.4,0.61,0.79,0.97,1,1	91.0%