NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	101		Excitement	4.8 [863]		MVP	Tristan da Silva (ORL): +9.2%
Orlando Magic	79		Comeback	1.7 [306]		LVP	Paolo Banchero (ORL): -19.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toumani Camara	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	9	73%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	15	66%	0.11	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Robert Williams III	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	11	46%	0.03	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Dalano Banton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	9	56%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Justin Minaya	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duop Reath	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryce McGowens	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rayan Rupert	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scoot Henderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	11	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kris Murray	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.06	3	67%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jabari Walker	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Shaedon Sharpe	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.13	-0.00	-0.07	11	32%	0.01	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tristan da Silva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	-0.01	0.01	8	80%	0.11	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Anthony Black	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.03	11	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Trevelin Queen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	17%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Caleb Houstan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jett Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.05	-0.03	0.08	6	71%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Franz Wagner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	19	49%	0.04	4	-0.11	3	67%	-0.00
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Paolo Banchero	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	14	22%	-0.06	5	-0.13	8	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.3	27.4	14.5	33.2	1.8	27.2	132.8
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +41.7%

ORL -9.0%

ORL -13.4%

POR +30.9%

ORL -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	ORL	NBA	POR	ORL	NBA
this game	14.5	15.8	14.4	106.3	83.2	113.0
season	14.3	15.4		110.3	108.3
opponent	14.4	14.5		109.1	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.1	14.1	14.5	15.4	14.5
ORL	12.6	18.6	16.1	16.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toumani Camara	63	63	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.19	26	-4	30	15.7	12.3	3.39	17.0	13.4	3.59
Jerami Grant	63	63	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.07	15	7	8	16.0	11.6	4.42	16.7	14.1	2.56
Shaedon Sharpe	52	51	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.08	8	14	-6	13.5	15.8	-2.35	15.5	16.1	-0.65
Anfernee Simons	65	64	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.13	14	8	6	14.3	14.9	-0.59	15.4	16.7	-1.32
Jabari Walker	38	37	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.03	10	12	-2	14.1	14.8	-0.70	16.5	15.3	1.19
Dalano Banton	27	27	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.09	6	16	-10	14.0	14.7	-0.74	15.6	15.9	-0.33
Deni Avdija	52	51	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.26	15	7	8	14.8	14.2	0.54	16.1	15.5	0.62
Robert Williams III	46	48	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	17	-12	15.0	14.1	0.88	15.3	16.3	-0.96
Kris Murray	27	26	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.03	5	17	-12	13.2	15.1	-1.87	12.8	16.9	-4.11
Justin Minaya	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	20	-18	11.7	14.6	-2.90	14.2	15.9	-1.61
Duop Reath	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	20	-18	11.7	14.6	-2.90	14.2	15.9	-1.61
Bryce McGowens	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	20	-18	11.7	14.6	-2.90	14.2	15.9	-1.61
Rayan Rupert	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	20	-18	11.7	14.6	-2.90	14.2	15.9	-1.61
Scoot Henderson	26	29	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	24	-26	13.7	14.8	-1.10	15.9	15.8	0.10

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevelin Queen	15	14	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.02	0	-22	22	13.5	16.2	-2.68	10.4	15.2	-4.81
Jonathan Isaac	36	35	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	-15	8	16.2	15.5	0.65	14.2	14.7	-0.47
Cory Joseph	26	27	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	-15	8	16.7	15.4	1.24	13.5	14.9	-1.46
Caleb Houstan	25	25	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.08	-9	-13	4	13.9	16.5	-2.59	12.8	15.2	-2.40
Anthony Black	61	59	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	-14	6	16.2	15.0	1.23	15.5	13.0	2.46
Paolo Banchero	64	65	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	-14	6	15.8	15.8	0.02	15.3	12.9	2.43
Jett Howard	31	32	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.16	-14	-8	-6	16.2	15.6	0.60	15.5	14.0	1.42
Tristan da Silva	59	57	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.03	-11	-11	0	15.8	15.8	-0.07	14.3	14.8	-0.53
Wendell Carter Jr.	44	45	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	-9	-4	15.6	15.9	-0.33	14.6	14.4	0.18
Franz Wagner	49	52	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	-9	-4	14.6	17.1	-2.47	14.2	14.9	-0.61
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	65	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.17	-20	-2	-18	16.9	13.4	3.49	15.0	13.6	1.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.37,0.3,0.33,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.19,0.27,0.14,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 111, WAS 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.28,0.21,0.14,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	95.1%
MIN 108, PHX 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.11,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
DET 98, HOU 74	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%