NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	98		Excitement	3.9 [1001]		MVP	Corliss Williamson (DET): +9.6%
Houston Rockets	74		Comeback	1.7 [377]		LVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): -15.1%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corliss Williamson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.01	14	62%	0.10	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	14	57%	0.07	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.02
Jon Barry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	6	64%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hubert Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pepe Sanchez	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	12	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Michael Curry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	18	46%	-0.05	1	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Mehmet Okur	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	39%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	4	78%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	11	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terence Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Juaquin Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	14	47%	-0.03	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	0.00	4	29%	-0.10	1	-0.04	6	33%	-0.07
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	17	37%	-0.11	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.5	28.5	16.3	28.6	2.5	29.5	129.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +26.7%

HOU -2.0%

DET +18.8%

DET +6.3%

DET +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	HOU	NBA	DET	HOU	NBA
this game	17.4	16.7	15.5	115.3	88.1	101.6
season	16.8	16.3		101.7	101.7
opponent	15.4	15.6		100.4	97.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	18.1	16.6	15.7	19.3	17.4
HOU	14.6	17.7	16.3	18.6	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	71	73	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.14	24	0	24	17.5	16.4	1.12	16.6	17.3	-0.64
Chauncey Billups	52	55	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.06	14	10	4	17.0	18.0	-0.99	16.7	16.7	-0.02
Richard Hamilton	57	59	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.06	17	7	10	17.0	18.0	-1.00	16.6	16.9	-0.29
Clifford Robinson	62	61	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.14	8	16	-8	18.2	15.2	3.00	15.5	20.0	-4.58
Corliss Williamson	50	49	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.25	19	5	14	16.5	18.7	-2.20	17.2	16.1	1.08
Michael Curry	35	35	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	19	-14	18.7	16.5	2.20	16.1	17.2	-1.08
Mehmet Okur	31	30	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.19	9	15	-6	16.5	17.8	-1.28	18.6	15.7	2.93
Jon Barry	26	23	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.10	5	19	-14	18.8	16.7	2.08	16.3	16.9	-0.56
Chucky Atkins	30	26	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.20	8	16	-8	19.1	16.4	2.68	15.9	17.1	-1.20
Hubert Davis	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	22	-20	6.7	17.8	-11.09	24.0	16.5	7.46
Pepe Sanchez	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	22	-20	6.7	17.8	-11.09	24.0	16.4	7.56
Tayshaun Prince	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.21	7	17	-10	12.4	17.7	-5.28	23.2	16.4	6.86

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bostjan Nachbar	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-18	12	22.6	16.3	6.26	13.0	17.7	-4.70
Juaquin Hawkins	10	11	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.28	-10	-14	4	26.0	15.5	10.54	15.8	17.6	-1.78
Jason Collier	17	18	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.15	-6	-18	12	17.1	16.6	0.43	14.3	18.2	-3.85
Moochie Norris	22	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.12	-5	-19	14	18.1	16.2	1.87	17.1	17.5	-0.32
Terence Morris	53	51	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	-18	12	15.9	18.0	-2.09	18.0	16.5	1.49
Maurice Taylor	23	24	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	-13	2	17.3	16.5	0.87	17.9	17.1	0.77
Yao Ming	39	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-18	12	15.3	17.9	-2.63	19.0	15.9	3.06
Kelvin Cato	45	44	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.11	-15	-9	-6	17.1	16.2	0.90	17.3	17.4	-0.05
Cuttino Mobley	68	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.06	-17	-7	-10	15.4	22.5	-7.15	17.3	17.5	-0.17
James Posey	68	69	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.03	-18	-6	-12	17.1	15.1	2.04	17.3	17.6	-0.24
Steve Francis	70	71	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.07	-20	-4	-16	16.3	18.9	-2.57	17.4	17.3	0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 100, ATL 85	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.26,0.29,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
DAL 105, ORL 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
IND 97, NYK 79	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%