NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	97		Excitement	4.0 [1029]		MVP	Stephen Jackson (IND): +16.4%
New York Knicks	79		Comeback	1.7 [387]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NYK): -13.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Jackson	0.16	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.04	-0.03	22	67%	0.26	4	-0.10	5	60%	-0.02
Dale Davis	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Jeff Foster	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Gill	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	6	56%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	10	59%	0.07	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
John Edwards	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	1	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
James Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.01	0.04	2	75%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	0.04	8	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Miller	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	15	37%	-0.04	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	4	78%	0.06	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	12	50%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	11	54%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerome Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Sundov	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jackie Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.02	-0.03	14	36%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.03	17	44%	-0.02	4	-0.11	9	89%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.4	30.4	18.5	24.2	2.4	27.3	126.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +23.2%

IND +12.3%

IND +12.2%

IND +2.4%

NYK -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	17.5	16.6	15.5	114.1	94.0	104.0
season	16.8	15.8		101.9	103.9
opponent	15.3	15.5		106.5	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.4	17.2	17.1	19.7	17.5
NYK	14.2	17.1	16.4	19.2	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Jackson	67	66	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.05	19	-1	20	17.4	17.9	-0.56	16.3	17.6	-1.32
Dale Davis	53	53	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.00	17	1	16	17.0	18.3	-1.34	16.9	16.1	0.80
Reggie Miller	54	53	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.08	18	0	18	17.0	18.4	-1.44	16.8	16.1	0.75
Anthony Johnson	59	58	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.05	15	3	12	17.8	16.8	1.01	16.4	17.0	-0.56
Jeff Foster	47	46	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.05	12	6	6	17.6	17.4	0.11	17.0	16.1	0.85
Scot Pollard	42	41	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.02	9	9	0	17.4	17.7	-0.29	15.8	17.3	-1.45
Eddie Gill	41	42	0.12	0.39	-0.27	0.03	3	15	-12	18.2	16.9	1.28	17.7	15.4	2.33
James Jones	29	29	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.10	-2	20	-22	16.9	17.8	-0.87	15.7	17.0	-1.29
John Edwards	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	17	-16	18.7	17.5	1.20	10.3	16.8	-6.47
Austin Croshere	30	29	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	20	-22	18.7	16.9	1.79	16.8	16.5	0.29

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Williams	2	2	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.02	3	-21	24	15.0	16.6	-1.61	10.5	17.7	-7.17
Malik Rose	20	20	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-20	22	17.5	16.3	1.22	18.1	17.3	0.84
Bruno Sundov	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-17	16	10.3	16.8	-6.47	18.7	17.5	1.20
Jackie Butler	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-17	16	10.3	16.8	-6.47	18.7	17.5	1.20
Trevor Ariza	25	25	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.06	1	-19	20	16.1	16.8	-0.64	18.4	17.1	1.21
Jermaine Jackson	17	18	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.13	-8	-10	2	18.2	16.2	2.01	19.2	17.0	2.18
Maurice Taylor	39	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-9	0	17.3	16.0	1.33	17.9	17.2	0.70
Tim Thomas	54	56	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.03	-12	-6	-6	16.5	16.7	-0.15	17.5	17.6	-0.12
Michael Sweetney	45	47	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.14	-19	1	-20	16.8	16.4	0.40	17.5	17.5	-0.04
Kurt Thomas	65	65	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	-4	-10	16.5	16.8	-0.28	17.1	18.9	-1.89
Jamal Crawford	78	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.01	-16	-2	-14	16.6	16.0	0.62	17.5	17.8	-0.35
Stephon Marbury	69	69	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.04	-16	-2	-14	16.2	18.3	-2.14	16.9	19.9	-3.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 95, POR 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.29,0.21,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.1,0.02,0,0.02,0	95.5%
PHX 113, LAC 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
TOR 123, PHI 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	95.4%