NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	95		Excitement	4.9 [827]		MVP	Robert Traylor (CHH): +2.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	89		Comeback	1.5 [308]		LVP	Scottie Pippen (POR): -16.3%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Traylor	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	17	49%	0.06	3	-0.04	3	67%	0.01
Baron Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	17	58%	0.07	4	-0.05	4	50%	-0.04
Jamaal Magloire	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Jerome Moiso	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Drew	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	20	53%	0.01	2	-0.02	9	67%	-0.02
Stacey Augmon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Elden Campbell	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	11	41%	-0.05	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.06

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.06	6	69%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	67%	0.00	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.05	9	55%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.01	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	20	41%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	5	46%	-0.05	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	11	55%	0.04	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.03	0.00	10	40%	-0.06	4	-0.11	5	80%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	1.7	31.1	15.7	25.2	1.7	35.2	135.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +33.7%

POR -15.8%

CHH +5.7%

CHH +26.6%

POR -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	POR	NBA	CHH	POR	NBA
this game	16.3	15.0	15.6	103.3	96.7	102.3
season	15.9	16.0		102.2	105.0
opponent	15.6	15.6		102.2	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	15.3	15.5	17.5	17.2	16.3
POR	16.0	13.9	16.8	13.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	82	81	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.24	12	-6	18	16.1	18.1	-1.97	15.2	13.0	2.22
P.J. Brown	73	73	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.17	14	-8	22	16.7	15.1	1.63	15.0	14.9	0.08
David Wesley	77	76	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.34	5	1	4	16.5	15.7	0.73	15.0	14.7	0.33
Lee Nailon	68	69	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.38	1	5	-4	16.1	16.9	-0.77	15.1	14.7	0.41
Elden Campbell	62	63	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.35	-4	10	-14	15.8	17.5	-1.66	15.1	14.6	0.49
Jamaal Magloire	26	25	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.00	6	0	6	18.3	15.6	2.68	14.9	15.0	-0.11
Jerome Moiso	24	23	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.05	5	1	4	16.9	16.1	0.77	14.7	15.1	-0.41
Robert Traylor	23	23	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	10	-14	14.6	16.9	-2.38	14.6	15.1	-0.52
Stacey Augmon	11	12	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.04	-2	8	-10	14.8	16.6	-1.74	13.2	15.2	-1.96
Bryce Drew	14	15	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	9	-12	18.1	16.0	2.12	14.6	15.0	-0.43

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	34	32	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.37	15	-21	36	14.0	15.5	-1.52	16.9	16.0	0.90
Ruben Patterson	44	45	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.40	16	-22	38	13.7	16.1	-2.36	16.7	16.0	0.62
Shawn Kemp	28	26	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	-1	-4	14.4	15.2	-0.86	15.8	16.5	-0.70
Steve Kerr	42	43	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.32	6	-12	18	14.0	15.8	-1.76	16.6	16.1	0.53
Rick Brunson	9	9	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.02	-7	1	-8	17.1	14.7	2.39	13.8	16.6	-2.85
Damon Stoudamire	66	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.28	-1	-5	4	15.3	14.1	1.23	17.0	14.5	2.51
Bonzi Wells	54	52	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.03	-14	8	-22	15.1	14.7	0.42	15.7	17.1	-1.37
Dale Davis	48	49	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	8	-22	15.3	14.5	0.79	15.8	17.0	-1.22
Scottie Pippen	61	60	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.04	-18	12	-30	15.7	13.6	2.08	16.0	16.9	-0.86
Rasheed Wallace	74	77	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.27	-8	2	-10	15.4	13.2	2.16	16.6	14.9	1.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.29,0.21,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.1,0.02,0,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 123, PHI 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	95.6%
IND 97, NYK 79	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
MEM 80, DAL 64	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%