NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	111		Excitement	4.9 [780]		MVP	Thomas Bryant (WAS): +21.4%
Washington Wizards	100		Comeback	1.9 [819]		LVP	Moritz Wagner (WAS): -9.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
T.J. Warren	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.03	0.03	26	60%	0.19	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Myles Turner	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	13	63%	0.12	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	0.06	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.03	12	65%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
JaKarr Sampson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	5	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Edmond Sumner	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	18	48%	0.03	3	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Doug McDermott	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.17	0.05	0.00	12	83%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	11	62%	0.09	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Admiral Schofield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Brown Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	11	45%	0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Bonga	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	0.05	6	57%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Jerome Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	18	44%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	12	35%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ish Smith	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	13	46%	-0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	0.00	-0.02	8	28%	-0.04	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	3.4	28.4	14.4	25.1	0.3	35.3	129.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +14.3%

IND +15.4%

IND +6.1%

IND +13.4%

IND +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	WAS	NBA	IND	WAS	NBA
this game	14.9	13.9	14.2	111.0	100.0	109.6
season	14.4	13.7		108.7	109.8
opponent	14.0	14.4		114.2	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.1	13.4	15.0	18.0	14.9
WAS	15.7	15.4	13.2	11.2	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
T.J. Warren	81	80	0.67	-0.17	0.84	-0.06	25	-14	39	14.8	15.1	-0.23	14.8	10.4	4.41
Aaron Holiday	73	71	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.07	17	-6	23	14.9	14.9	0.02	15.3	10.7	4.61
Malcolm Brogdon	70	69	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.07	13	-2	15	14.9	14.7	0.24	15.0	11.5	3.50
Myles Turner	67	66	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	1	9	15.1	14.4	0.76	14.8	12.3	2.52
JaKarr Sampson	36	38	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.05	7	4	3	14.5	15.1	-0.62	13.4	14.2	-0.82
Justin Holiday	73	73	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.27	-6	17	-23	15.4	13.4	1.95	13.5	15.2	-1.72
Doug McDermott	43	43	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.16	-3	14	-17	14.0	15.5	-1.53	12.2	15.2	-3.02
T.J. McConnell	30	31	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	13	-15	14.7	14.9	-0.24	11.5	15.0	-3.50
Edmond Sumner	27	29	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.11	-6	17	-23	14.9	14.9	-0.02	10.7	15.3	-4.61

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaac Bonga	76	74	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.13	3	-14	17	13.5	15.4	-1.96	15.1	14.1	1.07
Moritz Wagner	44	43	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-11	11	12.6	15.0	-2.35	14.3	15.3	-1.00
Shabazz Napier	48	49	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.11	-1	-10	9	12.5	15.3	-2.79	14.7	15.1	-0.43
Admiral Schofield	42	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	-7	3	13.3	14.4	-1.03	13.6	15.7	-2.12
Troy Brown Jr.	62	63	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-8	-3	-5	14.5	12.9	1.63	15.0	14.6	0.44
Thomas Bryant	56	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.07	-11	0	-11	15.0	12.6	2.35	15.3	14.3	1.00
Jerome Robinson	60	60	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.22	-6	-5	-1	12.9	15.4	-2.49	15.5	13.9	1.66
Ish Smith	45	45	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.02	-13	2	-15	15.6	12.6	3.00	14.1	15.5	-1.42
Rui Hachimura	67	69	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.10	-15	4	-19	15.1	11.6	3.51	15.2	14.0	1.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.28,0.21,0.14,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 98, HOU 74	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
NJN 100, ATL 85	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.26,0.29,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%
NJN 97, TOR 85	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.26,0.32,0.37,0.34,0.2,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%