NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	97		Excitement	4.8 [697]		MVP	Anthony Morrow (NJN): +16.8%
Toronto Raptors	85		Comeback	1.4 [289]		LVP	Kris Humphries (NJN): -14.4%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Morrow	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.22	0.01	0.06	14	86%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.03	-0.02	6	71%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.01	0.03	13	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	58%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Sundiata Gaines	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	37%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	18	49%	0.07	4	-0.10	13	85%	0.02
Shawne Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.04	-0.03	8	27%	-0.07	3	-0.07	6	33%	-0.07

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	-0.01	0.03	13	66%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.01	7	69%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.02	0.03	12	59%	0.01	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.02
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	7	58%	0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Gary Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	8	47%	0.03	3	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	6	62%	0.02	1	-0.04	1	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.03	-0.04	6	21%	-0.06	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.6	29.2	17.6	32.7	2.0	30.3	140.1
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +19.9%

TOR -0.5%

NJN +26.8%

NJN +2.0%

NJN +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	TOR	NBA	NJN	TOR	NBA
this game	17.4	16.5	15.6	115.5	98.8	102.8
season	16.2	16.5		101.3	98.9
opponent	15.2	15.2		102.9	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.7	17.6	15.6	19.8	17.4
TOR	16.8	17.6	18.0	13.8	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	68	70	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.03	18	-6	24	16.9	19.6	-2.68	16.9	14.7	2.23
Kris Humphries	66	69	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.02	17	-5	22	17.5	16.9	0.57	16.7	15.9	0.77
Shelden Williams	43	43	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.14	9	3	6	16.5	18.4	-1.90	15.6	17.4	-1.88
DeShawn Stevenson	60	62	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.00	12	0	12	16.7	19.2	-2.54	16.3	17.0	-0.75
Anthony Morrow	60	62	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.12	14	-2	16	16.6	19.3	-2.72	17.2	14.7	2.43
Jordan Farmar	30	30	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.29	-2	14	-16	18.8	16.6	2.24	15.0	17.3	-2.35
Jordan Williams	16	18	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.07	3	9	-6	20.4	16.7	3.76	15.1	16.9	-1.83
Shawne Williams	22	22	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.12	1	11	-10	19.8	16.5	3.22	17.3	16.2	1.10
Johan Petro	37	36	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	16.9	17.8	-0.94	18.1	15.4	2.72
Sundiata Gaines	12	12	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.18	-7	19	-26	19.8	17.0	2.85	14.0	16.9	-2.91
Mehmet Okur	6	6	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.05	-3	15	-18	17.8	17.4	0.47	16.3	16.5	-0.18

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	45	44	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.12	-1	-11	10	17.4	15.5	1.89	16.9	17.9	-1.06
Gary Forbes	15	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-13	14	13.5	17.1	-3.67	18.3	17.2	1.14
Anthony Carter	21	19	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-10	8	15.1	17.0	-1.86	20.7	16.4	4.25
Rasual Butler	42	41	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-7	2	18.1	15.0	3.16	15.4	19.3	-3.96
James Johnson	39	38	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-12	12	15.3	17.5	-2.28	19.5	15.7	3.80
Jamaal Magloire	16	16	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-12	12	14.5	17.0	-2.46	20.6	16.6	3.92
Leandro Barbosa	27	25	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	-3	-6	15.6	16.9	-1.27	18.8	16.8	1.95
Andrea Bargnani	65	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.04	-11	-1	-10	16.8	15.6	1.23	16.7	19.7	-3.03
DeMar DeRozan	49	49	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	-1	-10	17.5	15.2	2.35	16.5	18.7	-2.17
Jose Calderon	65	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	-2	-8	17.0	15.1	1.86	16.4	20.7	-4.25
Ed Davis	46	44	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.24	-12	0	-12	15.9	17.2	-1.31	17.8	16.9	0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.26,0.32,0.37,0.34,0.2,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 116, MIL 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.26,0.38,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
DET 90, CLE 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.21,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.5%
NOK 96, ATL 77	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.14,0.15,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%