NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	114		Excitement	8.3 [255]		MVP	Jalen Williams (OKC): +25.4%
Oklahoma City Thunder	123		Comeback	2.0 [991]		LVP	Isaiah Collier (UTA): -25.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walker Kessler	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.06	-0.00	10	71%	0.15	1	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Lauri Markkanen	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.00	0.06	-0.03	17	50%	0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Elijah Harkless	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	5	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	13	79%	0.19	6	-0.16	2	100%	0.06
Svi Mykhailiuk	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Kyle Filipowski	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyonte George	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.01	-0.11	0.02	11	50%	0.00	2	-0.14	8	87%	0.01
Collin Sexton	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.24,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.03	0.00	15	53%	0.06	8	-0.21	4	50%	-0.04
Isaiah Collier	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.14	-0.13	-0.01	10	40%	-0.01	6	-0.24	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.07	0.18	-0.00	18	58%	0.30	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.02
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.22	0.10	0.06	35	61%	0.33	3	-0.07	18	94%	0.06
Cason Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.07	-0.04	8	81%	0.19	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Branden Carlson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luguentz Dort	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Wiggins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	7	71%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adam Flagler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ousmane Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylin Williams	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	7	21%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenrich Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.3	30.8	13.8	31.6	2.3	33.6	138.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +2.5%

OKC +17.6%

UTA -34.3%

OKC +62.0%

OKC +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	OKC	NBA	UTA	OKC	NBA
this game	14.5	13.0	14.4	107.5	118.3	113.1
season	14.8	13.7		109.6	118.5
opponent	14.7	13.7		105.8	119.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	13.6	13.3	17.8	13.5	14.5
OKC	14.1	11.9	12.2	13.7	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Collins	56	59	0.26	-0.76	1.01	-0.09	12	-21	33	14.1	14.8	-0.69	13.6	12.1	1.46
Keyonte George	71	70	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.25	3	-12	15	14.7	14.0	0.72	12.7	13.5	-0.80
Collin Sexton	69	70	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-6	3	14.3	14.7	-0.43	13.2	12.5	0.73
Lauri Markkanen	66	64	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.29	3	-12	15	14.7	14.0	0.69	12.8	13.2	-0.43
Drew Eubanks	38	38	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.00	-7	-2	-5	14.2	14.6	-0.46	13.0	13.0	0.02
Svi Mykhailiuk	37	36	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.05	-10	1	-11	14.5	14.4	0.05	12.7	13.1	-0.32
Walker Kessler	68	66	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-7	5	14.6	14.2	0.46	13.0	13.0	-0.02
Elijah Harkless	43	39	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.14	-6	-3	-3	14.1	14.7	-0.53	13.4	12.7	0.64
Kyle Filipowski	29	28	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	6	-21	14.7	14.4	0.33	12.3	13.2	-0.92
Isaiah Collier	53	50	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.16	-20	11	-31	14.5	14.5	0.00	12.7	13.2	-0.54

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cason Wallace	79	79	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.19	20	-11	31	12.6	14.0	-1.37	14.1	15.4	-1.28
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	82	81	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.28	9	0	9	12.6	14.2	-1.55	14.6	13.8	0.80
Alex Caruso	44	44	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.05	16	-7	23	13.1	12.9	0.18	14.2	14.7	-0.50
Kenrich Williams	29	30	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.04	9	0	9	11.6	13.5	-1.95	15.7	14.0	1.74
Jalen Williams	78	80	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.23	-1	10	-11	13.5	11.3	2.15	14.3	14.9	-0.62
Aaron Wiggins	47	51	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.28	-4	13	-17	12.7	13.2	-0.47	15.4	13.6	1.73
Branden Carlson	28	27	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.13	9	0	9	11.7	13.4	-1.71	12.9	15.0	-2.10
Luguentz Dort	70	72	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.33	-7	16	-23	12.6	13.7	-1.15	14.6	14.2	0.36
Adam Flagler	4	3	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	5	-1	19.0	12.7	6.28	7.0	14.7	-7.67
Ousmane Dieng	19	21	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	7	-5	15.1	12.5	2.56	14.1	14.5	-0.45
Jaylin Williams	40	42	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	0.07	-12	21	-33	14.4	12.1	2.30	14.8	14.2	0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.41,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.53,0.73,0.86,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 93, OKC 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.75,0.75,0.66,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.84,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	92.8%
MIN 77, SAS 83	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.69,0.65,0.78,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.98,1	92.4%
WAS 111, IND 121	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.33,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.8,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	92.4%