NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	111		Excitement	7.1 [503]		MVP	Kristaps Porzingis (WAS): +21.7%
Indiana Pacers	121		Comeback	2.1 [690]		LVP	Jalen Smith (IND): -12.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kristaps Porzingis	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.17	0.05	0.00	13	85%	0.32	4	-0.10	8	75%	0.01
Daniel Gafford	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.05	0.00	4	70%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Goodwin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.13	-0.01	0.09	10	79%	0.10	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Deni Avdija	0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	0.01	11	58%	0.10	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Gill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Kispert	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	47%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Kyle Kuzma	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.07	-0.09	0.01	20	59%	0.10	3	-0.14	6	83%	0.03
Taj Gibson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monte Morris	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	9	39%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Buddy Hield	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.19	0.04	0.01	19	74%	0.25	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Oshae Brissett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.04	0.00	7	73%	0.15	0	0.00	8	87%	0.04
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.08	0.01	6	75%	0.15	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	83%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.16	-0.03	0.07	14	77%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.04	15	60%	0.15	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	8	64%	0.07	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Terry Taylor	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	7	17%	-0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	25.5	14.6	32.0	1.8	38.3	138.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +29.9%

WAS -2.2%

IND +9.9%

IND +9.8%

IND +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	IND	NBA	WAS	IND	NBA
this game	15.8	15.4	14.4	120.7	130.1	113.4
season	14.8	13.7		113.4	113.3
opponent	14.4	14.2		116.4	114.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.5	18.7	15.7	14.3	15.8
IND	14.9	15.6	12.0	20.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Gill	3	2	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-11	12	11.0	15.9	-4.91	29.5	15.1	14.42
Taj Gibson	18	18	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-7	4	17.1	15.4	1.69	13.6	15.8	-2.20
Corey Kispert	57	61	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.21	1	-11	12	16.0	15.3	0.75	16.5	13.2	3.26
Daniel Gafford	32	35	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.20	-2	-8	6	16.8	15.2	1.63	16.2	14.9	1.26
Kristaps Porzingis	66	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-3	-4	15.6	16.1	-0.46	15.7	14.5	1.23
Deni Avdija	81	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-5	0	15.7	16.5	-0.80	15.1	16.8	-1.68
Jordan Goodwin	66	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.08	-9	-1	-8	15.3	17.0	-1.74	14.8	16.9	-2.13
Kyle Kuzma	71	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	3	-16	15.2	17.7	-2.55	15.0	16.7	-1.68
Monte Morris	66	67	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	3	-16	16.2	14.6	1.58	15.0	16.3	-1.33

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Oshae Brissett	52	48	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.20	13	-3	16	15.9	14.7	1.17	15.5	16.1	-0.61
Bennedict Mathurin	65	63	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.02	18	-8	26	14.6	17.1	-2.46	15.7	15.8	-0.11
Tyrese Haliburton	61	64	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.15	9	1	8	15.6	15.0	0.54	15.3	16.9	-1.59
Andrew Nembhard	53	54	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.10	10	0	10	15.4	15.4	0.02	17.4	13.4	3.92
Myles Turner	56	58	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.13	7	3	4	15.7	14.9	0.82	15.9	15.4	0.54
Buddy Hield	66	67	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.21	2	8	-6	16.0	13.8	2.22	15.3	16.9	-1.55
T.J. McConnell	31	28	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.06	3	7	-4	15.5	15.4	0.10	16.9	15.3	1.59
Terry Taylor	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	10	-10	0.0	15.4	-15.39	16.0	15.7	0.25
Goga Bitadze	27	25	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.05	-2	12	-14	15.9	15.2	0.65	16.6	15.4	1.22
Jalen Smith	25	26	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	12	-14	14.3	15.8	-1.46	14.0	16.4	-2.39
Aaron Nesmith	29	26	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.09	-8	18	-26	14.0	16.0	-1.97	14.5	16.2	-1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.33,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.8,0.93,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 77, SAS 83	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.74,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.69,0.65,0.78,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.98,1	93.7%
NOP 96, UTA 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.69,0.76,0.91,0.85,0.98,0.97,1,1	93.3%
CLE 81, DET 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.7,0.81,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.52,0.65,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.98,1,1	92.6%