NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	114		Excitement	3.2 [713]		MVP	Malik Beasley (DET): +10.9%
Atlanta Hawks	104		Comeback	1.2 [356]		LVP	Bogdan Bogdanovic (ATL): -8.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Beasley	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.00	-0.04	14	68%	0.14	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Simone Fontecchio	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.00	-0.01	8	72%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Duren	0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	87%	0.08	4	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ausar Thompson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.13	0.00	0.07	9	80%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cade Cunningham	0.04	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.00	-0.07	19	69%	0.12	10	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Paul Reed	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Sasser	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Tobias Harris	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	7	56%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Isaiah Stewart	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Holland II	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	-0.07	8	19%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vit Krejci	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	6	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	0.00	0.05	8	76%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	4	73%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Dyson Daniels	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	21	47%	0.01	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Jalen Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	21	40%	-0.03	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.03	13	43%	-0.03	5	-0.05	4	50%	-0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	-0.00	-0.05	14	29%	-0.05	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	-0.03	9	10%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	30.5	14.8	25.2	2.3	27.6	127.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.2	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +49.1%

ATL -0.3%

DET +3.9%

ATL -3.7%

DET +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	ATL	NBA	DET	ATL	NBA
this game	13.7	13.0	14.4	106.5	95.4	112.6
season	14.3	13.2		112.6	110.6
opponent	14.3	14.5		113.2	112.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	12.4	14.2	13.7	14.4	13.7
ATL	15.2	13.5	13.4	10.0	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tobias Harris	83	83	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.04	16	-6	22	13.3	15.0	-1.62	13.4	11.6	1.78
Isaiah Stewart	40	40	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.03	11	-1	12	15.1	12.9	2.19	13.6	12.6	1.03
Marcus Sasser	30	30	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.04	11	-1	12	15.2	13.1	2.04	12.2	13.3	-1.07
Ausar Thompson	55	58	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.03	8	2	6	12.8	14.7	-1.93	13.6	12.2	1.39
Simone Fontecchio	35	36	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	8	2	6	14.7	13.2	1.42	12.0	13.5	-1.49
Malik Beasley	49	50	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	6	-2	14.7	12.9	1.76	12.2	13.6	-1.46
Tim Hardaway Jr.	73	74	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.23	0	10	-10	13.1	15.0	-1.86	13.3	12.2	1.10
Cade Cunningham	77	79	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.24	-1	11	-12	13.1	15.2	-2.04	13.3	12.2	1.07
Jalen Duren	60	62	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.23	-2	12	-14	13.0	14.6	-1.56	12.8	13.2	-0.39
Ronald Holland II	26	26	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.26	-6	16	-22	15.4	13.1	2.27	12.1	13.3	-1.18
Paul Reed	7	7	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.00	1	9	-8	11.7	13.8	-2.13	10.7	13.1	-2.41

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrison Mathews	24	23	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.24	9	-19	28	11.0	13.5	-2.53	14.0	13.6	0.44
Vit Krejci	52	49	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.03	-6	-4	-2	14.1	11.9	2.22	13.1	14.2	-1.10
Onyeka Okongwu	64	62	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.16	-2	-8	6	13.0	13.0	0.03	12.7	15.1	-2.40
Dyson Daniels	76	75	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.18	-3	-7	4	13.3	12.2	1.13	13.0	15.4	-2.48
Clint Capela	45	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-2	-6	13.0	13.0	-0.03	15.1	12.7	2.40
Bogdan Bogdanovic	41	41	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.07	-15	5	-20	13.5	12.6	0.87	14.7	13.1	1.63
Trae Young	92	91	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.24	-5	-5	0	12.7	14.7	-2.05	13.6	14.4	-0.87
Jalen Johnson	85	84	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	-4	-2	12.4	14.8	-2.39	13.9	13.0	0.89
De'Andre Hunter	66	65	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.04	-14	4	-18	13.2	12.7	0.49	14.2	13.0	1.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 96, HOU 79	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
ORL 99, CLE 69	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
MIA 88, MIL 67	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%