NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	96		Excitement	2.8 [1236]		MVP	Gerald Henderson (POR): +10.0%
Houston Rockets	79		Comeback	1.2 [445]		LVP	James Harden (HOU): -9.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Henderson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.00	0.01	8	76%	0.10	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.01
Maurice Harkless	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	13	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Ed Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	6	23%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	13	55%	0.05	5	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Tim Frazier	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.03	13	39%	-0.02	2	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Damian Lillard	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	20	48%	0.00	4	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Mason Plumlee	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	8	56%	0.02	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	4	30%	0.00	4	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	10	61%	0.05	2	-0.01	8	62%	-0.02
Clint Capela	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	8	31%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	11	35%	-0.02	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.13	0.00	-0.07	10	19%	-0.04	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	0.08	18	61%	0.03	10	-0.13	18	83%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.8	36.6	15.5	27.0	1.8	30.2	138.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +25.9%

POR +6.0%

POR +8.5%

POR +7.9%

POR +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	HOU	NBA	POR	HOU	NBA
this game	15.9	13.2	14.9	97.0	79.8	105.1
season	15.0	14.0		107.1	105.9
opponent	15.1	14.6		106.9	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.8	16.3	16.4	17.2	15.9
HOU	14.4	15.0	11.3	12.1	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ McCollum	85	84	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.26	25	-8	33	15.7	17.1	-1.35	12.9	14.6	-1.67
Damian Lillard	77	78	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.08	8	9	-1	16.1	15.3	0.76	12.1	17.3	-5.27
Al-Farouq Aminu	65	65	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.24	18	-1	19	14.6	18.4	-3.77	13.2	13.1	0.19
Maurice Harkless	67	65	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.21	2	15	-13	15.7	16.3	-0.55	12.1	15.3	-3.26
Meyers Leonard	27	29	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.03	8	9	-1	17.2	15.4	1.81	13.7	13.0	0.67
Tim Frazier	28	29	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.07	11	6	5	15.5	16.1	-0.52	16.6	11.8	4.81
Ed Davis	44	43	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	11	-5	16.1	15.7	0.41	13.8	12.7	1.08
Mason Plumlee	51	51	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.02	8	9	-1	15.8	16.0	-0.26	12.9	13.5	-0.54
Gerald Henderson	51	51	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.23	-1	18	-19	17.3	14.4	2.86	14.2	12.1	2.09

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Montrezl Harrell	31	33	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.25	8	-25	33	10.3	14.5	-4.21	17.3	15.2	2.09
Marcus Thornton	28	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.15	4	-21	25	11.9	13.7	-1.80	18.7	14.8	3.93
Clint Capela	30	29	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-19	21	13.1	13.2	-0.17	15.9	15.9	0.03
Josh Smith	19	18	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-15	13	15.0	12.7	2.25	15.2	16.1	-0.84
Jason Terry	6	6	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.12	-11	-6	-5	22.5	12.6	9.92	16.5	15.9	0.63
Ty Lawson	32	32	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-12	7	14.5	12.6	1.90	17.2	15.3	1.98
Patrick Beverley	60	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.17	-15	-2	-13	12.9	13.7	-0.80	15.0	17.3	-2.29
James Harden	76	75	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.14	-15	-2	-13	13.1	13.3	-0.16	15.2	18.2	-2.98
Corey Brewer	60	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	-1	-15	13.2	13.2	0.05	15.8	16.0	-0.15
Trevor Ariza	69	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.02	-16	-1	-15	13.5	12.5	0.93	15.3	17.6	-2.32
Dwight Howard	84	84	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.09	-19	2	-21	13.2	13.3	-0.10	15.9	16.1	-0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 108, SAC 63	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
ORL 99, CLE 69	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%
OKC 126, LAC 85	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.17,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%