NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	126		Excitement	2.1 [1274]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +9.5%
Los Angeles Clippers	85		Comeback	1.0 [678]		LVP	Baron Davis (LAC): -11.7%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.00	0.02	15	65%	0.10	1	-0.00	10	80%	0.02
Earl Watson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.03	10	62%	0.05	4	-0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Nick Collison	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.05	13	61%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
DJ White	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	12	54%	0.04	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jeff Green	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	12	68%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	0.01	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	11	54%	0.01	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Damien Wilkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	117%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Weaver	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	15	73%	0.06	4	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Acker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	10	40%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	-0.07	13	47%	0.02	6	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Chris Kaman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	14	41%	-0.06	3	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02
Baron Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.00	-0.01	8	44%	-0.03	6	-0.09	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.7	24.2	15.6	28.1	2.7	28.2	124.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +24.8%

OKC +7.4%

OKC +8.0%

OKC +10.2%

LAC -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	LAC	NBA	OKC	LAC	NBA
this game	12.8	14.9	15.5	121.2	81.7	106.4
season	14.9	15.7		100.5	100.7
opponent	15.1	15.1		109.8	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	12.2	13.0	12.9	13.0	12.8
LAC	16.6	15.8	14.3	13.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	68	67	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.31	25	16	9	13.0	12.3	0.70	15.4	14.0	1.36
Earl Watson	65	65	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.52	30	11	19	12.7	12.9	-0.22	14.3	15.9	-1.63
Russell Westbrook	63	63	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.33	23	18	5	12.8	12.8	-0.07	15.8	13.5	2.38
Shaun Livingston	70	70	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.30	22	19	3	13.2	12.0	1.22	15.4	13.9	1.52
Jeff Green	57	58	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.34	23	18	5	12.4	13.3	-0.85	16.0	13.5	2.56
DJ White	55	54	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.41	22	19	3	12.9	12.6	0.29	13.8	16.1	-2.27
Kyle Weaver	42	42	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.37	18	23	-5	12.6	12.9	-0.24	13.7	15.7	-2.00
Nick Collison	57	56	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.52	23	18	5	12.4	13.3	-0.93	13.9	16.0	-2.11
Nenad Krstic	29	30	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.10	8	33	-25	13.6	12.5	1.15	15.8	14.5	1.26
Damien Wilkins	14	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.32	11	30	-19	11.6	13.0	-1.41	13.9	15.1	-1.21

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Acker	40	40	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.21	-11	-30	19	13.1	16.0	-2.85	12.8	12.8	0.02
DeAndre Jordan	41	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.36	-16	-25	9	13.5	15.8	-2.30	12.4	13.0	-0.60
Steve Novak	46	47	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.42	-21	-20	-1	13.3	16.2	-2.95	12.7	12.9	-0.24
Marcus Camby	58	57	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.28	-20	-21	1	16.2	13.3	2.95	12.9	12.7	0.24
Chris Kaman	55	54	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.33	-22	-19	-3	15.9	13.8	2.09	12.6	13.0	-0.48
Mike Taylor	65	64	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.67	-34	-7	-27	14.0	16.4	-2.37	12.1	13.9	-1.85
Fred Jones	61	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.41	-26	-15	-11	16.3	12.9	3.48	13.0	12.5	0.46
Baron Davis	61	62	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	-28	15	15.4	14.2	1.14	13.5	11.7	1.80
Eric Gordon	93	94	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.80	-42	1	-43	15.1	13.6	1.42	13.0	11.2	1.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.17,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 108, PHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%
ORL 107, CHI 78	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
PHX 120, MIN 95	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.21,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%