NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	108		Excitement	2.1 [1225]		MVP	Darrell Armstrong (ORL): +9.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	94		Comeback	1.1 [630]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -7.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.01	-0.05	9	67%	0.10	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Derek Strong	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.00	-0.07	18	52%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Horace Grant	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.15	0.00	0.10	13	77%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Anderson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.02	6	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	8	55%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Dan Schayes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Harper	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Evans	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rony Seikaly	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	10	61%	0.03	4	-0.03	8	62%	-0.00
Gerald Wilkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	9	30%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mark Price	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	67%	0.03	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	10	65%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.04	15	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	9	56%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	7	61%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.01	12	50%	-0.03	2	-0.02	4	100%	-0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	3	57%	-0.03	2	-0.02	8	75%	-0.02
Eric Montross	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	21	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.5	24.5	15.4	21.5	2.4	25.3	113.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +39.3%

ORL +6.9%

ORL +3.6%

PHI -2.6%

ORL +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHI	NBA	ORL	PHI	NBA
this game	16.4	14.4	15.6	114.9	101.1	102.5
season	16.7	15.4		100.3	99.7
opponent	15.5	15.6		102.1	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.4	14.9	15.7	19.8	16.4
PHI	15.3	15.1	15.6	11.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Strong	62	62	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	4	6	16.5	16.2	0.34	14.2	14.7	-0.55
Gerald Wilkins	57	55	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.04	11	3	8	16.8	15.9	0.91	15.0	13.4	1.57
Darrell Armstrong	46	45	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.17	6	8	-2	16.7	16.1	0.63	13.9	14.8	-0.94
Bo Outlaw	67	66	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.08	14	0	14	16.9	15.2	1.67	15.2	12.4	2.72
Nick Anderson	41	41	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.16	16	-2	18	14.5	17.9	-3.42	14.3	14.5	-0.19
Rony Seikaly	53	51	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.07	5	9	-4	15.9	17.1	-1.17	14.1	14.7	-0.66
Dan Schayes	15	16	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.03	7	7	0	16.5	16.4	0.14	14.2	14.4	-0.15
Horace Grant	58	57	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	8	-2	16.7	15.9	0.81	14.9	13.6	1.29
Mark Price	48	48	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.08	8	6	2	16.1	16.7	-0.63	14.8	13.9	0.94
Brian Evans	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	23	-32	17.0	16.3	0.69	11.3	14.9	-3.64
Derek Harper	9	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	18	-22	18.4	16.2	2.24	10.4	14.9	-4.46

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Davis	29	29	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.34	10	-24	34	13.5	14.8	-1.30	18.0	15.7	2.24
Terry Cummings	39	41	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.31	7	-21	28	13.9	14.7	-0.78	17.2	15.8	1.34
Doug Overton	20	22	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-15	16	14.4	14.4	0.09	17.0	16.2	0.76
Tim Thomas	41	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.26	3	-17	20	13.3	15.2	-1.98	18.5	14.8	3.76
Eric Montross	22	24	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.16	-13	-1	-12	13.0	14.8	-1.86	15.0	16.9	-1.96
Scott Williams	50	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.08	-11	-3	-8	14.2	14.6	-0.34	17.1	15.7	1.47
Jerry Stackhouse	58	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.25	-21	7	-28	15.1	13.2	1.84	15.4	18.1	-2.75
Allen Iverson	73	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	-1	-12	14.4	14.4	-0.09	16.3	16.8	-0.45
Jim Jackson	58	58	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.23	-22	8	-30	14.9	13.5	1.43	15.1	18.6	-3.47
Clar. Weatherspoon	75	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	-3	-8	15.1	11.2	3.91	16.0	18.1	-2.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 126, LAC 85	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.17,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%
ORL 107, CHI 78	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
CHI 108, MIA 66	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%