inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 108 Excitement2.2 [1277] MVPKirk Hinrich (CHI): +7.6%
Miami Heat 66 Comeback1.1 [467] LVPShaquille O'Neal (MIA): -7.9%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.170.000.101865%0.0800.00475%-0.01
Chris Duhon0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.200.000.178105%0.061-0.023100%0.00
Ben Wallace0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.01545%0.0200.001100%0.00
Andres Nocioni0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.02-0.00856%0.022-0.0000%0.00
Luol Deng0.010,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.040.00-0.05950%0.053-0.04667%-0.01
Thabo Sefolosha0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.120.000.124100%0.0000.003100%0.00
Adrian Griffin0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Malik Allen0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02633%0.0000.0000%0.00
Viktor Khryapa-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03450%0.012-0.01250%0.00
P.J. Brown-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01267%0.012-0.022100%0.01
Tyrus Thomas-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.110.00-0.08429%-0.013-0.02633%-0.05
Ben Gordon-0.050,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.120.00-0.07926%-0.042-0.01580%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Posey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jason Kapono0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.001100%0.00
Dorell Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.05425%0.0010.0000%0.00
Robert Hite0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.090.00-0.0930%0.0020.0000%0.00
Wayne Simien0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Chris Quinn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.03520%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.070.000.081569%0.064-0.07650%-0.02
Antoine Walker0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.100.00-0.08937%0.013-0.03650%-0.01
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.070.00-0.04217%-0.022-0.02250%-0.00
Gary Payton0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.01547%-0.014-0.06580%-0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.000.04933%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.110.00-0.041032%-0.043-0.03250%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game32.63.532.520.424.23.529.6146.3
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +20.1%
CHI +8.0%
CHI +11.1%
CHI +12.3%
MIA -1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIMIANBACHIMIANBA
this game14.716.115.4114.971.0104.5
season14.516.0103.1102.4
opponent15.615.9104.398.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI11.914.517.815.314.7
MIA14.718.215.616.016.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kirk Hinrich68670.440.060.38-0.232319414.615.2-0.5716.415.21.16
P.J. Brown38370.330.170.17-0.111527-1214.115.2-1.0316.116.00.07
Luol Deng48460.310.190.130.08834-2615.613.81.8016.016.2-0.21
Ben Gordon43460.250.250.000.05735-2815.214.30.9015.616.5-0.94
Ben Wallace55550.250.250.00-0.131329-1614.914.50.3516.116.00.06
Chris Duhon34320.250.25-0.00-0.281824-614.115.1-1.0716.715.71.05
Viktor Khryapa27270.210.29-0.08-0.6128141413.915.1-1.2016.116.10.01
Andres Nocioni57550.190.31-0.12-0.6328141414.714.8-0.0615.716.6-0.96
Tyrus Thomas30310.160.34-0.18-0.281527-1214.115.0-0.9518.215.03.19
Adrian Griffin22210.060.44-0.38-0.501923-415.314.60.7515.016.4-1.38
Malik Allen27270.040.46-0.43-0.521923-415.414.50.8815.016.5-1.50
Thabo Sefolosha21210.000.50-0.49-0.501725-814.814.70.0215.416.2-0.82

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dorell Wright16160.00-0.500.500.35-12-301816.116.1-0.0014.814.70.08
Robert Hite11110.00-0.500.500.35-12-301814.716.2-1.5212.515.0-2.49
Wayne Simien15150.00-0.500.500.35-12-301816.116.10.0014.114.9-0.73
Jason Kapono2021-0.00-0.500.500.50-17-25816.116.10.0514.814.70.02
Alonzo Mourning3233-0.11-0.390.270.15-9-332415.216.5-1.2414.215.0-0.87
Chris Quinn2828-0.24-0.260.010.37-21-21016.116.10.0114.215.0-0.76
James Posey4343-0.26-0.24-0.030.68-32-10-2215.416.6-1.2015.114.40.73
Udonis Haslem5454-0.29-0.21-0.080.09-13-291616.116.1-0.0214.315.3-1.01
Shaquille O'Neal4546-0.34-0.16-0.180.22-19-23416.915.21.6815.314.21.18
Gary Payton6768-0.34-0.16-0.180.13-16-261015.716.9-1.1414.914.30.60
Dwyane Wade6465-0.41-0.09-0.330.26-23-19-416.614.81.8015.213.81.33
Antoine Walker7070-0.49-0.01-0.490.21-24-18-616.315.40.8414.814.50.33


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.22,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 118, WAS 980.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.6%
ORL 107, CHI 780.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.5%
IND 115, SAC 930.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.28,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.2%