NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	108		Excitement	1.9 [1288]		MVP	Ray Allen (BOS): +9.3%
Sacramento Kings	63		Comeback	1.0 [1283]		LVP	Francisco Garcia (SAC): -5.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.17	0.00	0.08	8	100%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	7	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	11	43%	0.02	1	-0.00	8	75%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.16	0.00	0.14	11	91%	0.04	2	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00
Leon Powe	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	0.00	0.05	6	69%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Glen Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	5	20%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	4	50%	0.03	3	-0.02	6	50%	-0.01
Eddie House	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.01	14	48%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick O'Bryant	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	100%	0.00	3	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Gabe Pruitt	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mikki Moore	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.04	4	45%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Douby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	9	42%	0.03	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.00
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	8	44%	-0.01	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	5	40%	-0.02	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	31%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	6	44%	-0.02	2	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	45%	0.01	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	6	33%	-0.03	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	7	14%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	3.5	34.4	17.3	26.5	2.6	27.3	137.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +39.1%

SAC -0.5%

BOS +8.3%

BOS +3.3%

SAC -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	SAC	NBA	BOS	SAC	NBA
this game	14.4	16.3	15.5	113.7	67.7	106.4
season	15.8	15.0		108.3	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.6		112.7	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.0	12.8	16.0	15.8	14.4
SAC	18.3	17.4	16.0	13.6	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	58	56	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.69	38	7	31	13.1	16.3	-3.20	17.6	14.4	3.22
Ray Allen	59	57	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.51	29	16	13	14.6	14.0	0.64	16.9	15.4	1.47
Kendrick Perkins	54	53	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.52	28	17	11	14.3	14.5	-0.25	16.9	15.5	1.39
Glen Davis	27	25	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	34	-23	15.1	14.1	1.04	18.1	15.6	2.45
Rajon Rondo	57	55	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.47	25	20	5	13.9	15.1	-1.18	16.8	15.5	1.34
Tony Allen	48	47	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.18	14	31	-17	14.9	13.9	0.98	15.6	17.0	-1.49
Eddie House	41	39	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.36	20	25	-5	14.5	14.3	0.25	15.5	16.9	-1.43
Kevin Garnett	46	46	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.52	25	20	5	13.8	14.9	-1.01	16.6	16.0	0.67
Leon Powe	26	25	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.12	11	34	-23	15.2	14.0	1.19	17.4	15.9	1.46
Gabe Pruitt	24	25	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.26	9	36	-27	15.8	13.9	1.96	13.6	17.3	-3.68
Brian Scalabrine	21	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.26	9	36	-27	15.0	14.2	0.87	13.5	17.1	-3.60
Patrick O'Bryant	14	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	39	-33	13.9	14.4	-0.52	12.4	17.0	-4.64

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelden Williams	13	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-44	43	12.9	16.8	-3.91	13.7	14.5	-0.78
Quincy Douby	25	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.26	-9	-36	27	13.6	17.3	-3.68	15.8	13.9	1.96
Spencer Hawes	41	40	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.41	-16	-29	13	15.6	16.8	-1.26	15.5	13.5	2.04
Donte Greene	33	33	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.20	-9	-36	27	13.7	17.7	-4.02	15.9	13.6	2.31
Jason Thompson	41	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.22	-14	-31	17	15.9	16.6	-0.74	14.4	14.4	0.02
Beno Udrih	44	43	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.55	-26	-19	-7	16.6	16.0	0.66	14.5	14.2	0.30
Bobby Jackson	45	47	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.50	-26	-19	-7	16.9	15.7	1.25	13.3	15.5	-2.20
Bobby Brown	49	52	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.27	-19	-26	7	16.0	16.6	-0.66	14.2	14.5	-0.30
Brad Miller	44	46	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.52	-28	-17	-11	17.0	15.7	1.26	14.5	14.3	0.17
Francisco Garcia	29	31	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	-32	19	19.1	15.0	4.09	13.4	14.8	-1.41
John Salmons	54	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.62	-33	-12	-21	17.1	15.2	1.87	14.3	14.4	-0.14
Mikki Moore	47	49	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.47	-31	-14	-17	17.6	15.0	2.60	13.5	15.3	-1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 105, TOR 69	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%
POR 96, HOU 79	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
DAL 107, CHA 80	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%