NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	107		Excitement	5.8 [670]		MVP	Jalen Duren (DET): +8.6%
Houston Rockets	96		Comeback	1.5 [275]		LVP	Jalen Green (HOU): -13.1%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Duren	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.01	8	100%	0.13	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Sasser	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.02	7	50%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.01	6	71%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	100%	-0.00
Cade Cunningham	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.2,-0.08,-0.06,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.01	-0.05	22	65%	0.29	10	-0.24	5	100%	0.02
Malik Beasley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	12	61%	0.09	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Isaiah Stewart	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Simone Fontecchio	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Holland II	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	9	22%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ausar Thompson	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	12	42%	-0.03	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.00	0.02	15	62%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Amen Thompson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	14	53%	0.05	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Jock Landale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tari Eason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	7	44%	-0.00	3	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Alperen Sengun	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	14	38%	-0.03	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Whitmore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	9	53%	0.05	3	-0.11	1	0%	-0.01
Dillon Brooks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	7	36%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Green	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	21	43%	-0.01	5	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	25.4	14.7	25.7	1.7	28.5	123.7
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +49.5%

HOU -0.3%

DET +14.5%

HOU -15.0%

DET +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	HOU	NBA	DET	HOU	NBA
this game	14.1	14.3	14.4	104.9	95.0	113.0
season	14.1	14.8		113.7	113.9
opponent	14.3	14.5		109.7	111.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	10.6	17.2	13.0	16.2	14.1
HOU	14.7	12.2	15.2	15.1	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Duren	63	64	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.03	16	-5	21	13.9	14.3	-0.40	14.2	14.5	-0.23
Tim Hardaway Jr.	63	63	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	-4	19	14.3	13.7	0.51	13.7	15.4	-1.77
Tobias Harris	74	74	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.03	14	-3	17	14.2	13.6	0.57	13.2	17.4	-4.22
Cade Cunningham	77	78	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	2	7	13.7	15.1	-1.35	13.9	15.8	-1.95
Ronald Holland II	32	29	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.13	3	8	-5	13.8	14.2	-0.36	17.8	12.9	4.88
Malik Beasley	63	65	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.15	1	10	-9	14.4	13.5	0.93	13.8	15.2	-1.45
Ausar Thompson	48	46	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.09	2	9	-7	14.1	14.0	0.05	14.8	13.9	0.94
Marcus Sasser	27	25	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	9	-7	14.6	13.9	0.73	16.5	13.6	2.87
Simone Fontecchio	26	26	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	13	-15	12.4	14.6	-2.20	14.4	14.3	0.14
Isaiah Stewart	37	35	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	16	-21	14.7	13.7	1.01	14.8	14.0	0.78

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cam Whitmore	40	42	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.17	7	-18	25	15.2	13.7	1.55	14.8	13.5	1.28
Aaron Holiday	30	30	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.15	3	-14	17	14.1	14.4	-0.31	15.0	13.7	1.33
Tari Eason	55	57	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-12	13	13.3	15.5	-2.21	14.3	13.8	0.50
Jock Landale	20	22	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-7	3	15.0	14.1	0.91	13.0	14.3	-1.35
Amen Thompson	83	83	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.17	-5	-6	1	14.5	13.5	0.99	14.9	10.5	4.41
Alperen Sengun	64	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.12	-8	-3	-5	15.2	12.8	2.33	13.1	15.6	-2.46
Fred VanVleet	82	82	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	0	-11	14.0	15.6	-1.62	13.9	14.8	-0.98
Dillon Brooks	65	64	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.05	-16	5	-21	14.1	14.7	-0.54	13.6	14.9	-1.33
Jalen Green	66	66	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.04	-22	11	-33	14.0	14.9	-0.96	13.9	14.4	-0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.37,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.18,0.25,0.38,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.33,0.21,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.26,0.25,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 113, NYK 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.34,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	92.6%
PHI 114, DAL 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.46,0.48,0.39,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	92.5%
MIA 100, CHI 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	92.4%