NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	113		Excitement	4.5 [948]		MVP	Carlos Arroyo (MIA): +17.0%
New York Knicks	91		Comeback	1.3 [937]		LVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (NYK): -21.1%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Arroyo	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.04	-0.01	5	110%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.02	0.00	23	65%	0.21	5	-0.10	3	33%	-0.01
Chris Bosh	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.03	-0.03	19	60%	0.16	5	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Mario Chalmers	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	6	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.01	-0.04	0.08	22	50%	-0.05	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	-0.00	0.01	16	66%	0.15	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	13	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	7	31%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.04	12	29%	-0.08	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.15	-0.07	-0.01	28	38%	-0.12	4	-0.10	7	29%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	3.6	31.1	18.5	28.4	3.4	30.6	138.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +44.0%

MIA +10.8%

NYK -3.8%

NYK -0.5%

NYK -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	NYK	NBA	MIA	NYK	NBA
this game	15.4	13.6	15.5	113.0	91.9	105.7
season	16.0	14.3		109.0	108.6
opponent	15.5	15.6		108.4	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	18.7	14.6	13.7	15.0	15.4
NYK	13.4	13.0	13.4	14.4	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	81	79	0.65	-0.15	0.80	-0.26	31	-9	40	15.6	14.5	1.09	13.2	15.2	-2.04
Carlos Arroyo	55	54	0.61	-0.11	0.73	-0.06	23	-1	24	15.3	15.5	-0.19	13.5	13.7	-0.17
Chris Bosh	75	76	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.13	20	2	18	15.6	14.6	1.07	13.5	13.8	-0.27
Dwyane Wade	80	79	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	8	6	15.3	15.6	-0.30	13.6	13.6	-0.03
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	25	26	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.07	11	11	0	16.4	15.0	1.33	12.6	13.9	-1.35
Joel Anthony	42	42	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.14	3	19	-16	14.1	16.2	-2.10	14.5	12.9	1.56
Juwan Howard	40	38	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.19	9	13	-4	15.0	15.6	-0.60	13.6	13.6	0.05
Eddie House	9	8	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.03	2	20	-18	15.1	15.4	-0.27	13.7	13.6	0.19
James Jones	33	34	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	23	-24	15.3	15.4	-0.04	14.3	13.2	1.09
Jamaal Magloire	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	22	-22	13.5	15.5	-1.98	15.0	13.5	1.52
Erick Dampier	9	8	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	23	-24	17.9	15.1	2.78	12.4	13.7	-1.31
Mario Chalmers	45	45	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.08	-1	23	-24	15.5	15.3	0.19	13.7	13.5	0.17

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawne Williams	28	27	0.15	-0.65	0.81	-0.05	7	-29	36	14.3	13.3	1.04	14.6	15.6	-1.00
Anthony Randolph	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-22	22	15.0	13.5	1.52	13.5	15.5	-1.98
Timofey Mozgov	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-22	22	15.0	13.5	1.52	13.5	15.5	-1.98
Henry Walker	11	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-19	16	13.5	13.6	-0.03	15.2	15.4	-0.20
Toney Douglas	41	40	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-22	22	14.4	13.0	1.35	15.6	15.2	0.40
Ronny Turiaf	8	8	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.08	-9	-13	4	14.1	13.5	0.60	16.1	15.3	0.83
Landry Fields	71	72	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.02	-8	-14	6	13.0	15.0	-1.99	15.5	15.1	0.35
Wilson Chandler	79	82	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.15	-19	-3	-16	12.8	16.4	-3.60	15.4	15.0	0.44
Amar'e Stoudemire	79	79	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.14	-22	0	-22	13.8	12.5	1.35	15.2	16.0	-0.75
Danilo Gallinari	81	83	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.15	-23	1	-24	13.6	13.5	0.09	15.7	13.5	2.28
Raymond Felton	85	86	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	0.25	-33	11	-44	13.6	13.6	0.01	15.3	15.7	-0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.34,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 108, DAL 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.2,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
PHI 105, CHA 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
LAL 104, NYK 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%