NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	114		Excitement	5.3 [735]		MVP	Toni Kukoc (PHI): +20.0%
Dallas Mavericks	98		Comeback	1.5 [490]		LVP	Christian Laettner (DAL): -11.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toni Kukoc	0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.17	0.06	0.03	13	86%	0.23	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0.07	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.00	0.07	-0.01	7	86%	0.16	5	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.01	-0.04	10	52%	0.06	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.03
George Lynch	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	16	48%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Kevin Ollie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	71%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	57%	0.01	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Jumaine Jones	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	22	50%	-0.07	4	-0.04	16	75%	-0.03

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.01	0.05	8	87%	0.11	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	28	47%	0.07	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	18	53%	0.06	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	9	61%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Loy Vaught	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	12	47%	-0.02	2	-0.02	8	62%	-0.03
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	5	57%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.04
Christian Laettner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	3	12%	-0.05	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	23.2	15.8	28.2	2.3	32.5	128.7
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +23.3%

PHI +4.5%

PHI +10.0%

PHI +14.8%

DAL -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DAL	NBA	PHI	DAL	NBA
this game	13.7	14.5	15.5	111.8	96.1	100.9
season	15.7	15.2		101.4	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.5		101.2	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	11.7	16.2	13.8	13.4	13.7
DAL	14.4	15.8	14.5	13.8	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	97	97	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.01	19	-3	22	13.5	17.6	-4.12	14.3	19.6	-5.31
George Lynch	86	88	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.05	19	-3	22	13.2	16.3	-3.11	14.6	14.2	0.39
Theo Ratliff	82	82	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.00	15	1	14	14.1	11.9	2.22	15.3	11.6	3.67
Toni Kukoc	80	81	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	6	4	14.4	11.0	3.48	14.2	15.8	-1.53
Aaron McKie	85	84	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.12	6	10	-4	13.8	13.0	0.82	14.6	14.5	0.06
Todd MacCulloch	25	25	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.07	11	5	6	11.5	14.4	-2.92	14.4	14.6	-0.25
Kevin Ollie	38	37	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	12	-8	13.5	13.8	-0.34	14.0	14.9	-0.86
Jumaine Jones	17	16	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	20	-24	14.7	13.5	1.22	15.2	14.4	0.83

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Trent	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-14	12	16.5	14.5	2.03	12.0	13.8	-1.76
Christian Laettner	30	32	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.13	3	-19	22	15.2	14.3	0.92	14.4	13.3	1.09
Loy Vaught	15	15	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-17	18	14.1	14.6	-0.57	14.9	13.5	1.46
Hubert Davis	58	58	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	-6	-4	14.3	14.8	-0.47	13.7	13.6	0.13
Howard Eisley	71	73	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	-10	4	14.6	14.5	0.14	13.2	14.8	-1.55
Michael Finley	96	96	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.02	-12	-4	-8	14.5	14.7	-0.12	13.7	12.7	1.08
Shawn Bradley	61	57	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.15	-20	4	-24	14.8	14.1	0.67	14.3	12.9	1.43
Dirk Nowitzki	92	92	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.00	-18	2	-20	14.5	14.9	-0.39	13.2	18.4	-5.23
Steve Nash	83	83	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.06	-16	0	-16	14.3	15.8	-1.52	13.7	13.8	-0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.46,0.48,0.39,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 97, SAC 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.23,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.1%
NYK 82, MIA 76	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.19,0.31,0.38,0.37,0.25,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0	93.9%
MEM 93, HOU 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.35,0.25,0.24,0.31,0.23,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.7%