NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	119		Excitement	12.6 [6]		MVP	Trae Young (ATL): +63.5%
Boston Celtics	115		Comeback	29.9 [14]		LVP	Jayson Tatum (BOS): -25.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trae Young	0.63	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.25,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.72,0.72,0.63	-0.01	0.63	-0.01	23	55%	0.78	5	-0.14	5	100%	0.19
Dyson Daniels	0.24	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.24	0.08	0.16	0.01	14	82%	0.34	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,0.08,0.08,0.15	0.09	0.06	0.00	10	70%	0.37	2	-0.22	7	71%	0.05
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	70%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vit Krejci	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	8	44%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Garrison Mathews	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Clint Capela	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Jalen Johnson	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.17	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	13	42%	-0.11	3	-0.06	7	57%	-0.18
De'Andre Hunter	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	0.05	-0.25	0.01	14	52%	-0.21	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.34,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46	0.46	0.16	0.28	-0.02	12	77%	0.46	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Derrick White	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.04,0.18,0.18,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.04	0.30	-0.03	20	50%	0.39	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.07
Luke Kornet	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.05	0.01	9	77%	0.18	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Neemias Queta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Sam Hauser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.03	-0.02	7	0%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.07	0.03	8	50%	-0.03	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.18,0.18,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	27	41%	0.14	4	-0.29	5	80%	0.01
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.28,-0.25	-0.25	-0.03	-0.23	-0.01	21	46%	-0.13	3	-0.12	8	87%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.5	2.5	25.5	14.5	25.3	2.4	41.5	1.6	20.2	160.1
league avg	25.7	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.2	2.3	15.7	134.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +16.2%

ATL +16.3%

ATL +10.3%

ATL +1.7%

ATL +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	BOS	NBA	ATL	BOS	NBA
this game	13.0	15.5	14.4	106.2	103.6	112.2
season	13.2	15.0		111.1	118.0
opponent	14.2	14.3		109.3	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
ATL	13.6	13.7	13.9	10.9	13.4	13.0
BOS	14.1	15.6	14.9	16.3	18.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Johnson	81	81	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.49	6	-2	8	12.7	14.0	-1.30	15.1	16.5	-1.41
Dyson Daniels	83	84	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.46	6	-2	8	13.0	13.0	-0.01	15.8	14.7	1.11
Garrison Mathews	32	30	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	-8	20	12.1	13.4	-1.35	16.4	15.2	1.23
Vit Krejci	60	58	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.46	-3	7	-10	12.9	13.2	-0.31	14.2	16.9	-2.72
De'Andre Hunter	64	64	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.36	0	4	-4	13.2	12.8	0.41	16.4	14.3	2.09
Onyeka Okongwu	63	64	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.09	6	-2	8	13.0	13.1	-0.13	16.5	14.2	2.28
Trae Young	83	83	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.17	3	1	2	13.1	12.7	0.41	14.8	17.5	-2.62
Clint Capela	47	46	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.01	-6	10	-16	13.6	12.6	0.94	14.4	16.3	-1.83
Bogdan Bogdanovic	47	46	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.08	-4	8	-12	13.6	12.6	0.98	16.2	15.0	1.11

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Hauser	41	42	0.21	-0.71	0.93	0.18	1	-5	6	15.8	15.3	0.44	13.4	12.8	0.60
Neemias Queta	45	44	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-5	6	15.1	15.8	-0.70	13.5	12.7	0.82
Jrue Holiday	69	70	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.12	-7	3	-10	14.2	17.6	-3.33	12.9	13.3	-0.45
Luke Kornet	65	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.16	-5	1	-6	16.0	14.8	1.16	13.2	12.7	0.48
Derrick White	90	90	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.52	5	-9	14	15.4	16.1	-0.79	13.1	12.8	0.32
Jayson Tatum	91	92	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.48	0	-4	4	15.0	17.8	-2.86	13.1	12.7	0.34
Payton Pritchard	64	68	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.54	-6	2	-8	16.9	13.6	3.24	12.6	13.7	-1.08
Jaylen Brown	90	90	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.47	-9	5	-14	15.9	13.8	2.09	12.8	14.0	-1.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.67,0.59,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.35,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.88,0.73,0.77,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.59,0.27,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 112, MIA 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.37,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.71,0.32,0.27,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.09,0	89.4%
SAC 109, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.32,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.7,0.59,0.71,0.87,0.81,0.72,0.43,0.27,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.14,0.04,0	89.2%
POR 94, SAC 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.61,0.55,0.43,0.59,0.46,0.61,0.45,0.43,0.27,0	87.4%