inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 112 Excitement11.3 [23] MVPDwyane Wade (MIA): +64.1%
Miami Heat 106 Comeback39.2 [34] LVPQuentin Richardson (MIA): -28.8%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rajon Rondo0.550,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.06,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.41,0.41,0.550.070.490.011278%0.806-0.26887%0.03
Ray Allen0.170,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.170.120.060.011081%0.383-0.227100%0.05
Kendrick Perkins0.140,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.140.090.04-0.001069%0.202-0.06967%-0.07
Rasheed Wallace0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.060.070.011170%0.253-0.131100%0.00
Shelden Williams0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.02-0.01-0.03150%-0.0110.012100%0.01
Tony Allen-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.01-0.00660%0.073-0.07333%-0.04
Brian Scalabrine-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Glen Davis-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.00312%-0.061-0.02250%-0.02
Paul Pierce-0.240,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.05-0.180.011252%-0.075-0.17989%0.03

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.640.640.080.55-0.013452%0.672-0.031669%0.09
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.040.15-0.001359%0.262-0.06683%0.06
Dorell Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.010.00560%0.0400.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.00375%0.051-0.022100%0.01
Carlos Arroyo0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.020.00520%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.03-0.00933%-0.042-0.0500%0.00
Michael Beasley0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.11-0.03-0.01829%-0.043-0.091100%0.01
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2-0.200.01-0.210.011547%-0.2000.0000%0.00
Quentin Richardson0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21,-0.29,-0.29-0.29-0.06-0.230.00629%-0.191-0.10250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game28.21.835.815.829.22.538.11.617.2170.2
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.72.039.8141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +126.8%
MIA -20.9%
MIA -6.1%
MIA -59.4%
BOS +9.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSMIANBABOSMIANBA
this game13.916.715.3106.7102.9106.0
season15.516.2105.7104.4
opponent15.415.7102.8102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
BOS13.212.613.415.816.513.9
MIA15.616.916.019.215.016.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Paul Pierce85850.78-0.281.060.3714-82213.714.9-1.2216.617.1-0.44
Ray Allen71710.72-0.220.940.3413-72014.213.30.9217.016.01.05
Rajon Rondo98960.66-0.160.820.2813-72013.913.60.3716.913.33.65
Rasheed Wallace66670.58-0.080.670.2312-61813.814.1-0.3417.914.53.32
Kendrick Perkins81810.340.160.18-0.0112-61813.814.4-0.6516.716.70.01
Brian Scalabrine23220.160.34-0.170.34-612-1814.613.70.8316.716.7-0.01
Glen Davis4238-0.140.64-0.790.06-713-2014.213.70.5015.217.5-2.30
Shelden Williams1715-0.230.73-0.95-0.02-713-2014.913.71.1616.316.7-0.42
Tony Allen4240-0.380.88-1.250.03-1420-3413.314.3-1.0915.217.6-2.35

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joel Anthony37380.35-0.851.210.186-121816.516.8-0.2712.314.9-2.59
Dorell Wright30310.29-0.791.070.174-101420.415.25.2413.214.2-1.07
Mario Chalmers54540.28-0.781.060.029-152417.316.01.2414.313.50.86
Michael Beasley47480.01-0.510.510.03-1-5417.316.11.2014.713.21.46
Udonis Haslem7476-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.270-6616.517.1-0.6213.714.4-0.69
Carlos Arroyo4041-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.02-93-1216.317.0-0.6812.714.7-1.94
Dwyane Wade8586-0.740.24-0.98-0.42-115-1616.517.7-1.1813.615.2-1.52
Quentin Richardson7374-0.790.29-1.07-0.49-104-1415.220.4-5.2414.213.21.07
Jermaine O'Neal6667-0.850.35-1.21-0.50-126-1816.816.50.2714.912.32.59


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.37,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.71,0.32,0.27,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.09,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 109, SAS 1060.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.32,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.7,0.59,0.71,0.87,0.81,0.72,0.43,0.27,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.14,0.04,090.8%
SAC 111, LAC 1070.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.64,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.17,0.26,090.8%
LAC 123, PHX 1190.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.57,0.72,0.77,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.66,0.43,0.28,0.46,0.46,0.28,0.22,0.28,090.0%