NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	111		Excitement	10.8 [41]		MVP	Cuttino Mobley (SAC): +52.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	107		Comeback	21.5 [31]		LVP	Brian Skinner (SAC): -22.6%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0.52	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.05,0.44,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.52	0.10	0.41	-0.01	17	62%	0.52	0	0.00	5	100%	0.08
Kenny Thomas	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.18,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.25	0.01	0.25	-0.00	16	47%	0.25	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Mike Bibby	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.23,0.17,0.12	-0.13	0.25	0.00	20	40%	0.18	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.11
Corliss Williamson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	6	73%	0.08	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.04	0.01	15	65%	0.05	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Eddie House	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.02	-0.20	0.01	7	56%	0.02	2	-0.25	2	50%	-0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.04	0.17	0.01	10	68%	0.26	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.03
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.06	0.12	-0.00	19	55%	0.22	6	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	4	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Lionel Chalmers	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	8	47%	0.00	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.07	-0.04	21	53%	0.03	4	-0.13	11	91%	0.13
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	11	42%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.04
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.10	-0.02	7	35%	-0.12	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.8	1.8	32.0	15.8	25.1	1.7	43.0	1.6	13.2	157.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	1.9	17.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +55.2%

LAC -2.3%

LAC -26.1%

SAC +16.1%

SAC +7.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAC	NBA	SAC	LAC	NBA
this game	14.7	16.2	15.5	106.7	104.9	104.0
season	14.7	16.0		108.1	103.0
opponent	15.5	15.6		103.8	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAC	16.1	14.1	14.4	14.6	14.1	14.7
LAC	15.2	16.0	16.3	16.0	19.2	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cuttino Mobley	84	83	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.47	7	-3	10	14.8	14.3	0.46	16.7	13.8	2.92
Kenny Thomas	75	73	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.24	10	-6	16	14.6	15.1	-0.58	16.0	16.5	-0.49
Peja Stojakovic	92	89	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.43	2	2	0	13.8	21.7	-7.85	16.1	16.8	-0.69
Brian Skinner	74	71	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.53	-2	6	-8	14.1	16.3	-2.27	16.6	15.1	1.54
Mike Bibby	80	79	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.46	-1	5	-6	13.7	18.0	-4.26	16.2	16.2	-0.01
Eddie House	20	19	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	0	4	17.2	14.1	3.13	15.9	16.2	-0.27
Darius Songaila	24	24	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.16	-5	9	-14	14.5	14.8	-0.29	16.1	16.2	-0.05
Kevin Martin	4	4	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	3	-2	21.7	14.4	7.31	17.2	16.1	1.13
Corliss Williamson	35	35	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.14	3	1	2	16.6	13.8	2.83	15.9	16.3	-0.43
Maurice Evans	32	33	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	-0.16	1	3	-2	17.1	13.7	3.43	14.7	16.9	-2.22

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Brunson	51	52	0.49	-0.99	1.47	0.16	11	-15	26	15.8	16.5	-0.65	14.8	14.6	0.17
Quinton Ross	37	38	0.22	-0.72	0.93	0.27	-2	-2	0	15.9	16.3	-0.35	16.1	13.9	2.22
Mikki Moore	25	23	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.35	-5	1	-6	16.1	16.2	-0.06	17.2	14.0	3.21
Zeljko Rebraca	26	28	0.17	-0.67	0.85	0.15	1	-5	6	15.2	16.5	-1.26	16.0	14.2	1.80
Corey Maggette	88	89	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.51	5	-9	14	16.2	15.6	0.61	14.4	16.3	-1.88
Chris Kaman	71	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.41	-1	-3	2	16.5	15.3	1.21	14.5	15.2	-0.63
Elton Brand	82	84	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.78	-1	-3	2	16.2	16.2	-0.04	13.8	18.7	-4.99
Bobby Simmons	79	81	-0.96	0.46	-1.43	-0.64	-11	7	-18	16.2	16.1	0.05	14.4	16.0	-1.64
Shaun Livingston	51	52	-0.99	0.49	-1.47	-0.55	-15	11	-26	16.5	15.8	0.65	14.6	14.8	-0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.64,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.17,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 112, MIA 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.37,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.71,0.32,0.27,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.09,0	90.8%
SAC 109, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.32,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.7,0.59,0.71,0.87,0.81,0.72,0.43,0.27,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.14,0.04,0	90.3%
PHX 108, BKN 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.55,0.44,0.56,0.72,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.87,0.95,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.37,0.32,0.16,0	89.3%