NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	94		Excitement	10.2 [54]		MVP	Nicolas Batum (POR): +26.0%
Sacramento Kings	90		Comeback	8.4 [168]		LVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): -36.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0.26	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.26	0.15	0.12	0.01	16	67%	0.26	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Rudy Fernandez	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.00	10	65%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,0,0	0.01	0.04	0.04	20	49%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Sean Marks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	40%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Dante Cunningham	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	5	60%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	7	25%	-0.08	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.36	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,0,0,-0.27,-0.4,-0.46,-0.39,-0.3,-0.36,-0.36	-0.11	-0.25	0.01	24	44%	-0.06	5	-0.30	4	75%	-0.03

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.08	0.15	0.00	7	83%	0.30	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.10	0.13	0.00	12	74%	0.28	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.01	0.12	-0.00	7	56%	0.22	2	-0.11	4	100%	0.09
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	44%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Pooh Jeter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.17	-0.07	-0.00	11	22%	-0.10	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.06	-0.22	0.00	9	35%	-0.26	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.28	-0.28	-0.06	-0.22	-0.00	13	53%	-0.08	5	-0.20	4	50%	-0.06
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.33	-0.33	-0.08	-0.25	0.00	13	33%	-0.28	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.1	2.4	31.6	15.6	26.2	2.6	34.1	1.5	15.2	151.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	1.9	16.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +31.5%

SAC -15.3%

POR +25.5%

POR +6.0%

POR +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SAC	NBA	POR	SAC	NBA
this game	16.8	15.2	15.5	94.0	90.9	105.7
season	16.5	14.9		106.7	102.1
opponent	14.9	15.7		107.7	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
POR	16.7	17.0	15.2	18.0	16.9	16.8
SAC	14.0	13.5	16.8	15.5	18.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Przybilla	52	52	1.03	-0.53	1.55	0.56	16	-12	28	17.1	16.4	0.76	16.6	13.7	2.86
Nicolas Batum	81	79	1.01	-0.51	1.52	0.57	15	-11	26	16.6	17.3	-0.70	15.4	14.4	0.94
Andre Miller	78	78	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.44	4	0	4	16.8	16.4	0.44	15.5	14.0	1.47
LaMarcus Aldridge	84	85	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.44	4	0	4	17.0	15.4	1.56	15.5	13.6	1.82
Rudy Fernandez	50	50	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.05	2	2	0	17.2	16.3	0.82	15.3	15.1	0.16
Patty Mills	22	21	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.06	0	4	-4	16.4	16.8	-0.44	14.0	15.5	-1.47
Wesley Matthews	70	71	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.07	-7	11	-18	16.4	17.6	-1.26	14.6	16.8	-2.26
Sean Marks	9	8	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.05	-3	7	-10	15.0	16.9	-1.92	10.9	15.6	-4.71
Dante Cunningham	54	51	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	-0.10	-11	15	-26	16.6	16.9	-0.30	14.6	15.9	-1.27

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carl Landry	31	33	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.31	-1	-3	2	15.2	15.2	-0.01	16.7	16.8	-0.12
Pooh Jeter	19	21	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.03	0	-4	4	13.3	15.7	-2.40	16.2	16.9	-0.71
DeMarcus Cousins	48	50	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-4	4	14.8	15.6	-0.84	16.5	17.0	-0.46
Donte Greene	30	30	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-2	0	15.0	15.3	-0.34	15.3	17.4	-2.02
Beno Udrih	96	96	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.38	-1	-3	2	15.3	12.7	2.61	16.7	17.5	-0.78
Omri Casspi	69	71	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.41	-2	-2	0	15.3	15.0	0.34	17.2	15.7	1.44
Jason Thompson	69	67	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.45	-1	-3	2	15.0	15.7	-0.71	17.1	16.0	1.12
Tyreke Evans	83	84	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.44	-7	3	-10	15.6	13.4	2.18	16.8	16.6	0.15
Samuel Dalembert	51	49	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.49	-6	2	-8	15.6	14.8	0.84	17.2	16.3	0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.61,0.55,0.43,0.59,0.46,0.61,0.45,0.43,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 103, HOU 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.63,0.54,0.62,0.75,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.55,0.59,0.46,0.69,0.46,0.45,0.42,0	90.1%
BOS 112, MIA 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.37,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.84,0.8,0.71,0.32,0.27,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.09,0	89.7%
LAC 123, PHX 119	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.57,0.72,0.77,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.86,0.66,0.43,0.28,0.46,0.46,0.28,0.22,0.28,0	89.6%