NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	101		Excitement	8.3 [250]		MVP	Austin Reaves (LAL): +49.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	102		Comeback	1.6 [890]		LVP	Max Christie (LAL): -14.2%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tosan Evbuomwan	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.05	0.11	-0.00	10	68%	0.21	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Jalen Wilson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	8	69%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ziaire Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	13	54%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Noah Clowney	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.06	-0.03	0.11	0.01	10	50%	0.14	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Nic Claxton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	70%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Simmons	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Keon Johnson	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0.00	11	52%	0.04	2	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00
D'Angelo Russell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.18,-0.05	0.09	-0.14	-0.00	15	63%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Martin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Day'Ron Sharpe	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	10%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Reaves	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.35,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.49	0.49	0.29	0.20	-0.00	23	70%	0.49	0	0.00	8	100%	0.05
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.14	0.21	-0.00	17	81%	0.49	5	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Gabe Vincent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.07	-0.00	8	56%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.06	0.00	10	48%	0.09	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Shake Milton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Jemison III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dalton Knecht	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	4	18%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Max Christie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.02	0.01	13	25%	-0.13	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.5	25.3	14.6	28.3	1.7	26.4	123.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +25.3%

LAL +9.5%

BKN -11.0%

LAL +23.6%

LAL +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	LAL	NBA	BKN	LAL	NBA
this game	15.5	16.0	14.4	111.0	110.9	113.1
season	15.3	14.9		107.6	114.3
opponent	14.2	14.4		113.5	114.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	16.5	13.5	14.3	18.4	15.5
LAL	16.2	16.0	14.0	18.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nic Claxton	57	56	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.24	12	-13	25	15.1	16.1	-0.98	16.5	15.2	1.32
Keon Johnson	40	40	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.21	6	-7	13	13.3	17.2	-3.88	15.7	16.2	-0.53
Tyrese Martin	25	27	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.04	-2	1	-3	16.1	15.2	0.89	15.3	16.3	-1.05
Ziaire Williams	49	48	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-1	1	14.9	16.2	-1.29	16.7	15.2	1.57
Day'Ron Sharpe	25	27	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.07	-7	6	-13	16.5	15.1	1.44	15.2	16.3	-1.10
Ben Simmons	57	56	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	4	-9	14.8	16.6	-1.73	15.3	17.1	-1.73
D'Angelo Russell	47	48	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.40	3	-4	7	16.2	14.7	1.44	16.7	15.3	1.39
Noah Clowney	62	61	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.47	0	-1	1	14.3	18.1	-3.81	15.8	16.3	-0.49
Jalen Wilson	47	49	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.24	-9	8	-17	17.6	13.2	4.30	15.8	16.3	-0.52
Tosan Evbuomwan	46	48	-0.54	0.03	-0.57	-0.45	-3	2	-5	17.1	13.8	3.35	16.3	15.6	0.70

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rui Hachimura	63	63	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.53	3	-2	5	16.0	16.0	0.00	14.7	17.3	-2.62
Jaxson Hayes	63	61	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.32	9	-8	17	17.0	13.7	3.32	15.2	16.0	-0.74
Austin Reaves	70	70	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.49	1	0	1	16.4	14.8	1.61	15.1	16.8	-1.68
Gabe Vincent	54	54	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.33	0	1	-1	15.1	17.3	-2.20	16.7	13.6	3.07
Max Christie	64	63	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.32	0	1	-1	16.5	14.9	1.54	15.2	16.1	-0.92
Dalton Knecht	37	34	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.02	6	-5	11	15.3	16.5	-1.22	15.6	15.4	0.23
Shake Milton	15	15	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.01	3	-2	5	14.9	16.2	-1.27	15.6	15.4	0.15
LeBron James	66	67	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	12	-23	16.3	15.3	1.02	15.7	14.8	0.92
Trey Jemison III	28	28	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.03	-6	7	-13	14.2	16.8	-2.57	16.2	15.2	1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.47,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.66,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.63,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.65,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 76, HOU 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.69,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.96,1,1,1	92.3%
ORL 94, DEN 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.43,0.53,0.7,0.6,0.87,0.93,1,1,1,1	92.2%
PHX 87, POR 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.52,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.72,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.73,0.85,0.93,0.98,1,1	92.2%