inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 97 Excitement5.8 [340] MVPPayton Pritchard (BOS): +22.4%
Toronto Raptors 110 Comeback1.8 [50] LVPSam Hauser (BOS): -10.8%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Payton Pritchard0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.180.050.011180%0.2200.00367%0.00
Kristaps Porzingis0.060,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.07-0.02-0.011175%0.133-0.0720%-0.04
Al Horford0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.00-0.001050%0.0200.0000%0.00
Luke Kornet0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.01250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Xavier Tillman0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jordan Walsh0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jaden Springer0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0000.0020%0.00
Neemias Queta0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jayson Tatum-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.021546%0.021-0.03560%-0.02
Jrue Holiday-0.030,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.00-0.020.021150%-0.001-0.032100%0.01
Derrick White-0.090,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.02-0.02930%-0.052-0.04250%-0.01
Jaylen Brown-0.110,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.130.00-0.021629%-0.052-0.06250%-0.01
Sam Hauser-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.04-0.030.04625%-0.1100.0000%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jakob Poeltl0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.160.060.058100%0.1700.0000%0.00
Scottie Barnes0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.010.08-0.041653%0.162-0.03250%-0.02
Davion Mitchell0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.070.03-0.01677%0.121-0.0110%-0.02
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.01-0.01370%0.0700.004100%0.03
RJ Barrett0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.02-0.011855%0.102-0.04425%-0.04
Ochai Agbaji0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.00550%0.0200.0000%0.00
Gradey Dick0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.010.01960%0.061-0.032100%0.01
Chris Boucher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.04-0.00-0.05736%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Bruce Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.02-0.01935%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Jamison Battle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jamal Shead0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.00667%0.053-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.52.330.715.625.11.529.2129.9
league avg25.72.328.114.928.42.332.2134.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +47.8%
TOR +4.8%
TOR +3.1%
BOS -3.7%
BOS -2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSTORNBABOSTORNBA
this game15.814.714.4103.2115.8112.2
season15.013.9118.0109.7
opponent14.614.3115.2109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS14.815.817.915.115.8
TOR14.612.515.716.314.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luke Kornet18180.14-0.640.77-0.077-202717.615.42.2215.814.41.38
Payton Pritchard59590.02-0.520.53-0.166-192515.815.9-0.1115.313.61.78
Jaden Springer330.01-0.510.51-0.021-141511.316.0-4.6313.014.7-1.72
Xavier Tillman320.00-0.500.50-0.031-141511.316.0-4.6319.014.64.43
Jordan Walsh320.00-0.500.50-0.031-141511.316.0-4.6319.014.64.43
Neemias Queta320.00-0.500.50-0.031-141511.316.0-4.6319.014.64.43
Al Horford4040-0.07-0.430.36-0.101-141516.215.50.6614.414.9-0.45
Sam Hauser3130-0.09-0.410.32-0.090-131317.914.83.1115.414.31.13
Jayson Tatum7173-0.12-0.380.26-0.09-1-121115.317.6-2.3114.814.40.39
Jrue Holiday6365-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.03-130-1314.817.9-3.1114.315.4-1.13
Kristaps Porzingis7171-0.510.01-0.52-0.01-174-2115.516.9-1.3914.315.6-1.29
Derrick White4143-0.720.22-0.940.13-2916-4517.214.72.4813.915.3-1.47
Jaylen Brown6467-0.740.24-0.98-0.06-2310-3316.115.30.7614.415.4-0.98

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Boucher31320.430.070.360.051301313.615.2-1.5118.514.44.11
Scottie Barnes72690.390.110.280.07112914.315.9-1.5915.816.0-0.19
Davion Mitchell52510.370.130.23-0.1016-31914.914.30.6215.216.6-1.36
RJ Barrett72720.300.200.090.0685315.013.71.3315.018.6-3.62
Kelly Olynyk34340.280.220.070.1167-113.915.1-1.1717.315.02.26
Jakob Poeltl61600.220.28-0.070.0176115.113.91.1715.017.3-2.26
Gradey Dick51490.220.28-0.070.0758-315.713.52.2114.617.2-2.61
Jamal Shead29300.180.32-0.150.12211-914.414.8-0.3616.915.31.64
Bruce Brown39400.160.34-0.190.10211-914.914.50.4017.214.82.36
Jamison Battle870.110.39-0.28-0.0049-513.414.8-1.4120.115.54.67
Ochai Agbaji2626-0.150.65-0.790.12-922-3113.815.0-1.1814.016.5-2.51


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 91, HOU 960.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.71,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.95,0.96,194.5%
NOH 87, WAS 960.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.88,0.98,1,1,1,1,194.4%
VAN 91, PHI 1070.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.46,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.82,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.97,0.95,0.88,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,194.2%