NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	91		Excitement	5.7 [663]		MVP	Eric Snow (PHI): +7.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	107		Comeback	1.9 [1033]		LVP	Aaron McKie (PHI): -12.9%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Massenburg	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.03	0.02	13	69%	0.08	1	-0.05	13	85%	0.03
Stromile Swift	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	3	14%	-0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Michael Dickerson	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.16	-0.01	-0.08	18	38%	-0.03	4	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Grant Long	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	5	44%	-0.07	2	-0.05	8	75%	0.01
Mike Bibby	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.15	-0.02	-0.05	12	44%	-0.04	5	-0.08	8	87%	0.01
Erick Strickland	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	8	35%	-0.06	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.05	0.02	6	69%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.04	0.00	8	44%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	100%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	6	57%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	10	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
George Lynch	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	11	53%	0.01	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.02
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	29	48%	-0.02	3	-0.04	17	76%	0.02
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.14	-0.01	-0.02	10	30%	-0.07	3	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.7	1.8	32.1	15.7	29.2	1.8	34.2	143.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +36.0%

VAN -22.8%

PHI +18.2%

PHI +20.0%

VAN -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	PHI	NBA	VAN	PHI	NBA
this game	15.6	14.1	15.5	93.8	110.3	100.9
season	15.6	15.7		97.4	101.4
opponent	15.5	15.1		97.1	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	14.4	18.6	17.0	12.9	15.6
PHI	13.8	11.4	16.5	14.8	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Erick Strickland	50	52	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.10	1	-17	18	14.7	16.6	-1.94	12.5	15.9	-3.35
Tony Massenburg	26	27	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.10	0	-16	16	16.2	15.4	0.73	12.5	14.7	-2.20
Bryant Reeves	27	27	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-12	8	16.2	15.4	0.79	15.9	13.4	2.47
Mike Bibby	81	81	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.07	-4	-12	8	15.1	18.2	-3.08	14.9	10.1	4.80
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	17	17	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	-7	-2	17.8	15.2	2.60	9.5	15.0	-5.58
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	80	80	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	-7	-2	15.6	15.8	-0.25	14.8	10.5	4.37
Stromile Swift	40	38	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.10	-14	-2	-12	15.0	16.1	-1.05	12.7	14.9	-2.24
Grant Long	75	75	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.03	-15	-1	-14	15.7	15.4	0.33	14.8	11.6	3.21
Michael Dickerson	89	88	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	0.04	-26	10	-36	16.1	10.0	6.12	14.4	11.2	3.14

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	77	78	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.09	24	-8	32	14.0	14.3	-0.29	16.4	12.3	4.11
Tyrone Hill	52	51	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.10	14	2	12	15.3	12.7	2.62	16.3	14.9	1.38
Allen Iverson	90	90	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.00	15	1	14	13.8	17.1	-3.31	15.9	11.7	4.21
George Lynch	75	75	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	6	4	14.7	12.0	2.74	16.1	14.0	2.09
Matt Geiger	42	41	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.17	16	0	16	15.6	12.9	2.69	15.6	15.6	-0.02
Aaron McKie	61	59	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.01	8	8	0	13.9	14.3	-0.42	14.7	17.0	-2.27
Jumaine Jones	22	23	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	12	-8	10.4	15.1	-4.74	16.8	15.3	1.53
Rodney Buford	10	10	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	13	-10	15.4	13.9	1.48	11.5	16.1	-4.59
Toni Kukoc	36	36	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	20	-24	13.1	14.6	-1.48	15.9	15.4	0.47
Kevin Ollie	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	16.5	14.0	2.48	6.3	15.9	-9.58
Nazr Mohammed	10	10	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	19	-22	8.9	14.7	-5.77	13.1	15.9	-2.81
Todd MacCulloch	8	9	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.09	-7	23	-30	15.2	14.0	1.28	10.1	16.2	-6.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.46,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.82,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.97,0.95,0.88,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 87, WAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.88,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%
MIA 93, DAL 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.67,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.8,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.7%
NOP 100, CHI 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1	93.2%