NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	119		Excitement	6.9 [470]		MVP	Trey Murphy III (NOP): +21.8%
Chicago Bulls	113		Comeback	3.2 [345]		LVP	Josh Giddey (CHI): -8.3%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trey Murphy III	0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.17	0.06	0.02	20	62%	0.22	0	0.00	12	100%	0.05
Jose Alvarado	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.10	0.11	0.01	8	75%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zion Williamson	0.17	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17	0.06	0.07	-0.04	14	66%	0.21	4	-0.04	4	25%	-0.04
Javonte Green	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.06	0.03	6	54%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Dejounte Murray	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.02	-0.03	14	48%	0.09	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Brandon Boston	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	58%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Yves Missi	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	13	31%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hawkins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	10	45%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Theis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	4	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.01	9	72%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.06	0.07	17	56%	0.09	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Patrick Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.01	0.04	16	65%	0.12	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Lonzo Ball	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	10	55%	0.10	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dalen Terry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Phillips	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matas Buzelis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	6	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	0.04	22	53%	0.07	5	-0.14	3	33%	-0.04
Josh Giddey	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	-0.02	-0.05	12	27%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.2	28.6	15.3	26.4	2.5	31.4	131.0
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +29.5%

NOP +12.2%

CHI -10.5%

NOP +21.2%

CHI -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	CHI	NBA	NOP	CHI	NBA
this game	14.4	14.0	14.4	119.0	109.7	113.1
season	14.4	13.2		109.3	112.4
opponent	14.5	14.3		114.2	118.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	15.9	12.8	15.6	13.2	14.4
CHI	11.3	14.8	16.3	13.9	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Alvarado	33	34	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.05	19	-13	32	13.5	14.8	-1.22	15.4	13.3	2.12
Zion Williamson	51	52	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.33	7	-1	8	14.4	14.4	-0.01	13.7	14.4	-0.74
Daniel Theis	53	56	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.20	10	-4	14	13.3	15.5	-2.17	14.0	14.0	0.04
Jordan Hawkins	41	43	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.02	15	-9	24	13.9	14.7	-0.82	15.1	13.2	1.84
Trey Murphy III	78	81	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.37	0	6	-6	14.4	14.2	0.17	14.2	13.4	0.83
Javonte Green	60	62	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	4	-2	14.3	14.5	-0.19	13.4	14.9	-1.47
Yves Missi	34	35	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	7	-8	15.6	13.7	1.95	13.7	14.2	-0.42
CJ McCollum	61	61	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	14	-22	14.9	13.6	1.30	13.9	14.2	-0.29
Dejounte Murray	71	73	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.25	-9	15	-24	14.6	13.7	0.99	13.6	15.0	-1.34
Brandon Boston	18	18	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.04	-5	11	-16	14.8	14.3	0.51	13.5	14.1	-0.63

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Talen Horton-Tucker	17	17	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.04	6	-12	18	14.5	13.9	0.61	14.6	14.3	0.35
Lonzo Ball	56	53	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.17	10	-16	26	13.2	14.9	-1.69	14.1	14.6	-0.53
Julian Phillips	31	30	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-7	8	13.4	14.3	-0.95	15.0	14.1	0.91
Nikola Vucevic	76	73	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.21	6	-12	18	13.8	14.7	-0.88	14.6	13.6	1.00
Zach LaVine	81	78	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.23	6	-12	18	13.9	14.3	-0.38	14.7	13.1	1.57
Matas Buzelis	27	25	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-4	2	15.4	13.5	1.83	12.5	15.0	-2.51
Dalen Terry	13	13	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.00	-7	1	-8	13.9	14.0	-0.11	13.2	14.5	-1.39
Coby White	71	70	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.33	-6	0	-6	13.9	14.3	-0.38	14.5	14.1	0.37
Jalen Smith	29	29	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.06	-17	11	-28	15.2	13.6	1.60	13.7	14.6	-0.99
Josh Giddey	73	71	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.38	-8	2	-10	13.5	15.4	-1.90	14.7	13.6	1.04
Patrick Williams	41	41	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.07	-19	13	-32	15.5	13.1	2.40	14.3	14.4	-0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.57,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.44,0.38,0.45,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.28,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 83, MIA 74	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.61,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.74,0.7,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.55,0.58,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.29,0.24,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0	93.6%
ATL 107, TOR 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.19,0.08,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.1%
MIA 118, CHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.34,0.33,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.24,0.23,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	92.7%