NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	107		Excitement	5.8 [642]		MVP	Al Horford (ATL): +19.9%
Toronto Raptors	88		Comeback	3.9 [406]		LVP	Kyle Lowry (TOR): -13.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0.20	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.11	0.11	0.03	18	62%	0.23	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Ivan Johnson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.01	5	75%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.15	0.01	0.06	15	73%	0.13	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Anthony Tolliver	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	4	70%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Josh Smith	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	16	51%	0.10	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
John Jenkins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.00	0.06	4	112%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.03	-0.05	3	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.04	0.04	11	73%	0.18	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.02
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.02	-0.03	9	65%	0.15	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.04	-0.00	13	44%	0.09	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.03
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	54%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	14	47%	0.03	5	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	14	41%	0.02	3	-0.10	6	67%	-0.02
Kyle Lowry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	5	25%	-0.06	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.7	28.1	15.5	28.4	1.7	27.4	126.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +17.8%

ATL +3.9%

TOR -0.4%

ATL +27.8%

ATL +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	TOR	NBA	ATL	TOR	NBA
this game	14.9	15.9	15.4	113.8	94.6	104.1
season	15.1	16.1		102.6	104.4
opponent	15.3	15.5		105.8	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.3	15.0	14.3	16.2	14.9
TOR	15.7	15.7	14.5	18.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ivan Johnson	63	62	0.77	-0.27	1.03	-0.11	30	-11	41	15.1	14.5	0.69	16.9	13.9	2.98
DeShawn Stevenson	42	40	0.62	-0.12	0.73	-0.06	23	-4	27	14.7	15.1	-0.45	16.3	15.6	0.72
Jeff Teague	68	66	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.04	17	2	15	14.9	15.0	-0.12	16.3	15.0	1.31
Al Horford	69	69	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	4	11	15.4	13.4	2.01	16.4	14.5	1.93
Anthony Tolliver	51	52	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	8	3	15.1	14.7	0.31	15.4	16.5	-1.06
Johan Petro	15	15	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.05	5	14	-9	12.6	15.4	-2.75	14.3	16.2	-1.94
Shelvin Mack	26	27	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	17	-15	15.0	14.9	0.12	15.0	16.3	-1.31
Mike Scott	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	18	-17	15.7	14.9	0.86	14.4	16.0	-1.58
Josh Smith	62	61	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	20	-21	14.4	15.9	-1.46	15.3	17.1	-1.78
Dahntay Jones	1	0	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.00	-1	20	-21	1.0	15.1	-14.06	0.0	15.9	-15.89
John Jenkins	21	20	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.00	-2	21	-23	15.9	14.6	1.27	15.4	16.0	-0.63
Kyle Korver	45	46	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.03	-5	24	-29	15.0	14.8	0.21	15.8	16.0	-0.26

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	41	43	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.02	4	-23	27	15.2	16.4	-1.16	14.1	15.6	-1.47
John Lucas III	27	26	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-20	21	15.6	16.0	-0.47	15.0	14.9	0.06
Rudy Gay	70	71	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.13	-6	-13	7	15.4	17.3	-1.82	15.1	14.2	0.92
Terrence Ross	47	48	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	-14	9	15.2	16.6	-1.33	14.7	15.1	-0.42
Aaron Gray	14	14	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-17	15	14.1	16.2	-2.06	14.1	15.0	-0.91
Landry Fields	14	13	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.00	-7	-12	5	18.6	15.4	3.24	13.6	15.1	-1.51
Jonas Valanciunas	60	60	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.07	-18	-1	-17	16.1	15.5	0.63	15.2	14.4	0.83
Kyle Lowry	66	68	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.09	-20	1	-21	16.0	15.6	0.47	14.9	15.0	-0.06
DeMar DeRozan	69	70	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.04	-21	2	-23	16.4	14.5	1.88	15.0	14.6	0.45
Alan Anderson	57	57	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.02	-21	2	-23	16.4	15.1	1.27	15.4	14.1	1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.19,0.08,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 96, WAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.43,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.3%
SAS 107, DEN 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.29,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.06,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.3%
DET 96, CHH 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.54,0.52,0.33,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.07,0,0,0,0,0	92.8%