NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	119		Excitement	10.3 [28]		MVP	Trey Murphy III (NOP): +31.8%
Boston Celtics	120		Comeback	2.3 [534]		LVP	CJ McCollum (NOP): -25.6%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trey Murphy III	0.32	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.32	0.19	0.14	0.01	17	77%	0.44	3	-0.12	5	100%	0.05
Javonte Green	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.09	0.07	-0.01	6	83%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Alvarado	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.06	0.00	5	90%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.18,0.07,0.08	0.13	-0.00	0.05	19	60%	0.12	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.05
Daniel Theis	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Hawkins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Boston	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yves Missi	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.01	4	58%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Zion Williamson	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.04,-0.11,-0.18	-0.04	-0.15	-0.02	15	43%	-0.01	2	-0.16	7	86%	0.01
CJ McCollum	-0.26	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.26	-0.04	-0.21	0.01	15	39%	-0.23	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.09	0.00	6	92%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.16,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.07	0.03	30	54%	0.20	3	-0.09	10	80%	-0.01
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	10	55%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Hauser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	2	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.04	-0.03	14	50%	0.18	4	-0.14	4	100%	0.04
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	8	44%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Derrick White	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	37%	0.03	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.05
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.01	-0.12	0.01	19	46%	-0.09	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.3	26.5	14.5	29.2	1.8	35.4	134.2
league avg	25.7	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.2	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +14.0%

NOP -16.2%

BOS +41.8%

NOP -6.8%

BOS +17.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	BOS	NBA	NOP	BOS	NBA
this game	13.8	14.3	14.4	117.8	115.4	112.2
season	14.5	15.0		108.5	118.0
opponent	14.3	14.2		109.4	116.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.2	15.0	13.2	13.9	13.8
BOS	16.2	14.4	13.0	13.8	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Javonte Green	40	41	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.06	4	-5	9	14.6	13.2	1.40	14.5	14.1	0.37
Yves Missi	53	55	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.16	7	-8	15	14.4	13.1	1.33	14.1	14.6	-0.50
Brandon Boston	17	17	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.12	-8	7	-15	15.0	13.6	1.44	12.9	14.6	-1.68
Jose Alvarado	25	25	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.11	-8	7	-15	15.3	13.3	1.96	14.4	14.2	0.20
CJ McCollum	80	81	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.53	11	-12	23	13.9	13.4	0.47	14.2	14.6	-0.36
Jordan Hawkins	27	29	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.00	-10	9	-19	13.1	14.0	-0.89	14.9	14.1	0.84
Zion Williamson	61	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.44	4	-5	9	12.7	15.5	-2.81	14.0	14.7	-0.65
Dejounte Murray	74	77	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.59	7	-8	15	13.2	15.6	-2.39	14.5	13.8	0.64
Daniel Theis	48	49	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.31	-8	7	-15	13.1	14.4	-1.33	14.6	14.1	0.50
Trey Murphy III	80	83	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.49	-4	3	-7	14.2	12.2	2.03	14.3	14.1	0.18

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaylen Brown	81	80	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.48	0	1	-1	14.4	13.8	0.59	14.3	11.7	2.64
Derrick White	65	64	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.44	-1	2	-3	14.4	14.2	0.17	13.8	13.7	0.11
Jrue Holiday	69	68	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.42	-1	2	-3	13.7	15.5	-1.76	14.0	13.5	0.52
Luke Kornet	29	28	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	-12	25	15.2	13.9	1.32	13.8	13.8	-0.02
Payton Pritchard	51	50	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.06	12	-11	23	14.4	14.2	0.17	14.4	13.3	1.11
Jayson Tatum	80	77	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.53	-9	10	-19	14.1	15.0	-0.98	13.2	15.8	-2.66
Kristaps Porzingis	73	70	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.36	-8	9	-17	14.3	14.3	-0.00	14.1	13.1	0.97
Sam Hauser	21	18	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.04	2	-1	3	14.7	14.2	0.53	13.2	13.9	-0.77
Al Horford	51	50	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.18	-3	4	-7	14.4	14.2	0.13	12.9	14.7	-1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.39,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.6,0.44,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.47,0.59,0.71,0.61,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 103, LAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.46,0.66,0.62,0.73,0.68,0.59,0.67,0.78,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.91,1	92.3%
MEM 91, MIA 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.66,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.63,0.91,0.84,1	92.1%
WAS 128, MIL 131	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.75,0.63,0.77,0.96,1	91.8%