NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	128		Excitement	9.3 [125]		MVP	Brook Lopez (MIL): +76.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	131		Comeback	1.8 [1037]		LVP	Pat Connaughton (MIL): -13.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyus Jones	0.21	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21	0.16	0.07	0.01	14	71%	0.21	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Corey Kispert	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.12	0.06	-0.00	12	83%	0.27	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Poole	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.05	0.13	0.01	20	53%	0.22	2	-0.05	9	78%	0.00
Landry Shamet	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.27,0.27,0.2,0.16	0.10	0.06	0.01	11	65%	0.16	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Kyle Kuzma	0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.04,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,0.09	0.03	0.09	0.03	22	49%	0.15	1	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	58%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Johnny Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Gafford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	6	53%	0.05	1	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Deni Avdija	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.67,0.76,0.76	0.76	0.37	0.37	-0.02	17	95%	0.78	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.06
Damian Lillard	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.46	0.46	0.21	0.26	0.01	18	70%	0.48	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.06
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24	0.24	0.11	0.13	0.01	19	62%	0.35	3	-0.11	12	75%	0.07
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.02	8	56%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Jackson Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
AJ Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
MarJon Beauchamp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	5	17%	-0.10	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	1.8	22.9	14.0	30.2	2.3	39.3	138.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +17.9%

MIL +19.9%

MIL +12.3%

MIL +5.6%

WAS -5.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MIL	NBA	WAS	MIL	NBA
this game	13.8	13.5	14.5	120.8	124.8	113.9
season	13.7	14.3		109.8	117.0
opponent	14.3	14.1		114.8	118.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.3	12.9	15.0	13.0	13.8
MIL	14.5	13.8	11.7	14.2	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deni Avdija	64	63	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.12	-2	-1	-1	13.7	13.9	-0.14	13.5	13.6	-0.08
Danilo Gallinari	42	40	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-4	5	13.5	14.0	-0.45	13.1	13.8	-0.60
Johnny Davis	29	28	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.07	-5	2	-7	14.3	13.6	0.69	11.8	14.2	-2.37
Jordan Poole	75	74	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	0	-3	14.0	13.3	0.64	13.1	14.5	-1.36
Tyus Jones	64	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.39	3	-6	9	14.2	13.1	1.08	13.9	12.9	1.01
Corey Kispert	75	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.31	-2	-1	-1	13.1	15.3	-2.19	13.6	13.4	0.15
Landry Shamet	54	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-3	3	12.9	14.7	-1.73	14.0	13.0	0.96
Daniel Gafford	61	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.29	-6	3	-9	14.3	13.1	1.23	13.8	13.1	0.65
Kyle Kuzma	66	66	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.46	-1	-2	1	14.1	13.2	0.84	13.9	12.9	1.04

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brook Lopez	70	69	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.23	8	-5	13	13.5	13.6	-0.07	13.8	13.7	0.11
Pat Connaughton	60	61	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.40	2	1	1	13.3	13.8	-0.44	12.7	15.2	-2.48
Damian Lillard	81	81	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.43	1	2	-1	13.3	14.1	-0.78	13.7	14.1	-0.45
Malik Beasley	58	59	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.29	4	-1	5	13.4	13.7	-0.36	14.2	13.2	1.01
MarJon Beauchamp	31	31	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	-5	13	11.6	14.3	-2.71	14.2	13.6	0.55
Bobby Portis	53	53	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	0	3	13.5	13.5	0.01	14.1	13.4	0.72
Giannis Antetokounmpo	81	83	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.44	-10	13	-23	14.2	11.4	2.79	13.7	14.2	-0.51
Khris Middleton	28	28	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	-2	7	14.5	13.2	1.28	14.8	13.4	1.42
Andre Jackson Jr.	18	19	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	3	-3	13.3	13.6	-0.30	14.3	13.7	0.60
Cameron Payne	38	38	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.13	-4	7	-11	13.6	13.5	0.13	13.2	14.1	-0.88
AJ Green	7	8	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.04	-2	5	-7	16.3	13.3	2.96	14.4	13.7	0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.75,0.63,0.77,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 96, SAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.33,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.84,1	92.6%
DAL 100, SEA 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.59,0.54,0.67,0.81,0.63,0.77,0.92,1	92.4%
MEM 94, DEN 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.33,0.31,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.6,0.53,0.69,0.63,0.76,0.91,1	92.2%