NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	96		Excitement	8.7 [131]		MVP	Devin Harris (UTA): +30.5%
Sacramento Kings	103		Comeback	2.0 [563]		LVP	Derrick Favors (UTA): -20.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.31,0.31	0.15	0.15	-0.00	10	82%	0.31	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
CJ Miles	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.07	-0.02	11	50%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Gordon Hayward	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,-0.04	0.03	-0.07	-0.00	10	52%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Enes Kanter	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	40%	-0.02	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
Alec Burks	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	8	58%	0.06	3	-0.13	3	33%	-0.04
Josh Howard	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	0.01	12	58%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.05
Paul Millsap	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.05	-0.06	6	33%	0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Al Jefferson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.09	0.01	14	43%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.13	-0.08	-0.00	10	29%	-0.10	3	-0.11	4	25%	-0.04

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.11	-0.00	14	58%	0.22	0	0.00	8	87%	0.05
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.07	-0.01	7	59%	0.14	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.02
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	17	54%	0.08	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.05	0.00	12	64%	0.25	5	-0.21	4	100%	0.05
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.05	0.00	3	67%	0.13	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	5	60%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	4	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	12	42%	0.00	3	-0.07	7	71%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.4	28.5	15.7	26.0	2.7	33.3	135.6
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +17.8%

SAC +37.6%

SAC +6.7%

UTA -5.4%

UTA -6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAC	NBA	UTA	SAC	NBA
this game	15.1	14.2	15.6	98.0	104.0	102.8
season	15.8	14.9		104.0	102.2
opponent	15.1	15.1		107.9	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.8	16.0	13.9	15.8	15.1
SAC	15.2	15.3	12.8	13.6	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Enes Kanter	35	34	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.02	5	-12	17	15.2	15.0	0.23	14.9	13.8	1.10
Derrick Favors	53	54	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.05	-1	-6	5	14.4	15.8	-1.38	13.5	15.0	-1.56
Josh Howard	57	60	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.22	4	-11	15	14.5	15.8	-1.34	14.4	13.9	0.49
CJ Miles	44	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.15	-1	-6	5	14.9	15.2	-0.34	13.8	14.5	-0.67
Earl Watson	38	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.09	-5	-2	-3	14.9	15.1	-0.26	13.0	14.9	-1.90
Devin Harris	60	62	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-5	3	15.1	14.9	0.26	14.9	13.0	1.90
Gordon Hayward	54	56	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-1	-5	15.2	14.9	0.34	14.5	13.8	0.67
Alec Burks	41	39	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.07	-11	4	-15	15.8	14.5	1.34	13.9	14.4	-0.49
Paul Millsap	49	50	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.24	-7	0	-7	15.9	14.2	1.65	14.9	13.4	1.47
Al Jefferson	59	60	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.29	-11	4	-15	14.8	15.4	-0.51	13.8	14.8	-0.95

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Salmons	37	39	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.22	12	-5	17	13.3	14.7	-1.47	15.3	14.9	0.34
Jason Thompson	74	71	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.50	1	6	-5	14.1	14.4	-0.28	15.0	15.1	-0.03
Francisco Garcia	37	37	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.24	5	2	3	14.3	14.1	0.13	16.4	14.2	2.22
DeMarcus Cousins	64	65	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.28	3	4	-1	14.6	13.5	1.09	14.8	15.6	-0.84
Isaiah Thomas	80	80	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	5	-3	14.3	13.8	0.50	15.0	15.4	-0.41
Marcus Thornton	61	60	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.04	4	3	1	14.0	14.6	-0.59	14.1	16.5	-2.37
Charles Hayes	35	33	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.02	4	3	1	13.5	14.6	-1.09	15.6	14.8	0.84
JJ Hickson	24	25	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	4	-1	14.7	14.0	0.68	15.2	15.0	0.25
Jimmer Fredette	17	17	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	4	-1	15.0	14.0	0.98	16.1	14.8	1.29
Tyreke Evans	66	63	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.10	-2	9	-11	14.4	13.7	0.74	14.7	15.6	-0.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.33,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 102, DET 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.54,0.66,0.81,0.72,0.83,0.99,1	92.5%
MIN 110, LAL 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.71,0.73,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.84,0.73,1	92.3%
NYK 89, LAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.42,0.36,0.59,0.78,0.81,0.93,0.69,0.92,1	92.3%