NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	110		Excitement	9.7 [114]		MVP	Derrick Rose (MIN): +37.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	114		Comeback	2.4 [726]		LVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN): -36.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Rose	0.37	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.27,0.27,0.48,0.37	0.20	0.19	0.02	17	86%	0.46	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Jimmy Butler	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.17,0.17	0.16	0.02	0.00	18	65%	0.17	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.05	0.03	-0.06	14	53%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Anthony Tolliver	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	-0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.10	-0.10	0.01	14	68%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	5	33%	-0.03	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Josh Okogie	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.36	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36	-0.16	-0.19	0.01	16	38%	-0.15	6	-0.21	2	100%	0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.21	0.07	0.02	7	105%	0.30	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.05
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.12	0.01	14	67%	0.30	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
JaVale McGee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.04	0.01	10	80%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	-0.00	15	66%	0.17	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,0.02,0,0,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.05	0.02	21	55%	0.06	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lonzo Ball	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	6	21%	-0.06	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.14	-0.06	-0.00	7	14%	-0.11	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.8	24.1	14.7	25.6	3.4	35.5	130.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +15.7%

MIN -0.1%

LAL +32.7%

LAL +0.7%

LAL +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAL	NBA	MIN	LAL	NBA
this game	15.2	13.4	14.3	108.9	114.0	109.3
season	14.4	13.5		110.2	107.2
opponent	14.2	14.0		108.7	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.0	14.7	15.0	17.5	15.2
LAL	12.2	14.7	12.1	15.2	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	79	78	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.18	12	-16	28	15.0	16.0	-1.00	13.8	12.0	1.83
Derrick Rose	78	77	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.43	11	-15	26	14.8	16.7	-1.91	13.6	13.0	0.61
Andrew Wiggins	87	86	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.31	6	-10	16	14.9	17.4	-2.57	13.3	14.0	-0.66
Karl-Anthony Towns	84	82	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.27	1	-5	6	15.0	16.2	-1.22	13.1	15.1	-1.98
Gorgui Dieng	17	18	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.11	-5	1	-6	16.2	15.0	1.22	15.1	13.1	1.98
Josh Okogie	25	25	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.01	-12	8	-20	16.2	14.9	1.25	12.4	13.8	-1.37
Tyus Jones	25	25	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.02	-17	13	-30	16.6	14.8	1.84	12.8	13.6	-0.79
Jimmy Butler	90	89	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.46	-2	-2	0	15.3	14.5	0.75	13.8	10.4	3.45
Anthony Tolliver	20	20	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.12	-14	10	-24	16.0	15.0	1.04	12.0	13.8	-1.73

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rajon Rondo	52	52	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.20	10	-6	16	14.3	12.5	1.83	16.1	14.3	1.81
LeBron James	81	83	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	1	2	13.3	13.8	-0.44	14.8	16.9	-2.10
Tyson Chandler	46	46	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.26	6	-2	8	14.0	12.9	1.06	14.8	15.6	-0.80
Kyle Kuzma	68	69	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.33	3	1	2	13.3	13.8	-0.52	15.0	15.7	-0.78
Josh Hart	45	45	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.08	11	-7	18	12.7	14.0	-1.27	15.6	14.9	0.61
Brandon Ingram	73	73	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.42	-2	6	-8	13.5	13.3	0.23	14.9	16.0	-1.08
JaVale McGee	54	55	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.12	-2	6	-8	12.9	14.0	-1.06	15.6	14.8	0.80
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	26	27	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	3	-2	14.2	13.2	1.03	16.2	14.9	1.37
Lance Stephenson	8	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	6	-8	14.9	13.3	1.57	17.1	15.1	2.07
Lonzo Ball	47	48	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.09	-8	12	-20	12.7	14.0	-1.29	14.6	15.8	-1.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.71,0.73,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.84,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 96, SAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.33,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.84,1	92.3%
MIL 102, DET 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.54,0.66,0.81,0.72,0.83,0.99,1	92.1%
UTA 98, SAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.76,0.85,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.68,0.78,0.84,0.92,1	91.7%