NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	89		Excitement	7.6 [348]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (NYK): +20.4%
Los Angeles Clippers	96		Comeback	2.5 [774]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NYK): -22.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.21,0.21,0.2	0.04	0.15	-0.01	15	59%	0.26	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Anfernee Hardaway	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.00	6	92%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	6	69%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Jamison Brewer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	12	42%	-0.01	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.04
Nazr Mohammed	-0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	12	46%	-0.03	3	-0.13	4	75%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	-0.23	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-0.00	16	57%	0.01	5	-0.24	3	67%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.06	-0.01	13	64%	0.18	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.07	-0.00	14	50%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.01	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	16	45%	0.05	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Marko Jaric	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	-0.01	16	44%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.08	0.02	19	53%	-0.07	2	-0.04	7	57%	-0.01
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	5	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	23.2	15.5	23.7	2.0	33.3	122.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -21.5%

NYK -1.7%

LAC +30.6%

LAC +41.0%

LAC +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	LAC	NBA	NYK	LAC	NBA
this game	15.9	16.7	15.5	101.1	107.9	104.0
season	15.8	16.0		103.9	103.0
opponent	15.5	15.3		103.8	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.8	18.3	16.3	14.5	15.9
LAC	15.2	18.6	16.5	16.8	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamison Brewer	15	16	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.01	-1	-6	5	17.5	15.5	2.03	16.9	16.6	0.31
Vin Baker	12	11	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-3	-1	19.1	15.3	3.74	18.7	16.4	2.33
Michael Sweetney	30	29	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.08	0	-7	7	17.2	15.2	1.99	17.5	16.3	1.18
Jerome Williams	12	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.06	-1	-6	5	17.0	15.7	1.33	17.6	16.6	1.09
Kurt Thomas	71	74	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-9	11	15.4	17.6	-2.15	16.8	16.1	0.74
Jamal Crawford	75	77	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.35	3	-10	13	15.6	17.2	-1.62	16.9	15.5	1.37
Trevor Ariza	45	44	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	2	-11	15.4	16.3	-0.93	16.5	16.9	-0.46
Anfernee Hardaway	49	50	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.28	-1	-6	5	16.3	15.3	0.98	16.7	16.7	0.03
Nazr Mohammed	58	60	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.22	-7	0	-7	15.2	17.2	-1.99	16.3	17.5	-1.18
Stephon Marbury	73	73	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.29	-17	10	-27	15.4	17.9	-2.51	16.0	19.9	-3.89

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Simmons	79	76	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.34	16	-9	25	15.9	23.2	-7.34	15.3	19.4	-4.13
Marko Jaric	69	68	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.41	10	-3	13	16.0	19.1	-3.18	14.9	19.2	-4.40
Elton Brand	75	76	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.34	12	-5	17	17.1	14.6	2.42	15.7	16.5	-0.75
Chris Kaman	68	66	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.33	5	2	3	16.5	17.3	-0.79	15.0	18.5	-3.53
Quinton Ross	73	73	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.08	8	-1	9	17.0	15.3	1.67	16.1	14.7	1.35
Rick Brunson	36	35	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.10	-4	11	-15	17.4	16.2	1.27	17.3	14.9	2.43
Mikki Moore	13	14	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.07	-5	12	-17	18.0	16.5	1.54	17.5	15.5	1.96
Zeljko Rebraca	32	32	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.06	-7	14	-21	17.7	16.1	1.56	18.5	14.3	4.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.42,0.36,0.59,0.78,0.81,0.93,0.69,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 96, SAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.33,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.67,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.84,1	92.3%
MEM 87, HOU 90	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.66,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.95,1	92.0%
GSW 90, CHA 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.95,1,1	91.7%