NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	100		Excitement	6.2 [371]		MVP	Jae'Sean Tate (HOU): +20.9%
Atlanta Hawks	96		Comeback	2.0 [488]		LVP	Trae Young (ATL): -14.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jae'Sean Tate	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.16	0.05	0.00	6	94%	0.21	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Alperen Sengun	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1	0.06	0.03	-0.01	12	64%	0.16	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Aaron Holiday	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	80%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Amen Thompson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	65%	0.11	2	-0.07	7	100%	0.04
Jock Landale	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	12	46%	0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Cam Whitmore	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	4	25%	-0.06	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Green	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	24	50%	0.05	7	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Fred VanVleet	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	9	28%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mouhamed Gueye	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keaton Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	4	87%	0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.02	4	87%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dyson Daniels	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	12	44%	-0.00	1	-0.03	3	100%	-0.00
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	6	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vit Krejci	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	14	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.09	0.02	15	47%	-0.09	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Trae Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.05	0.03	16	57%	0.06	8	-0.21	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.0	25.2	14.7	34.5	2.0	32.2	134.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.2	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +32.3%

HOU +20.1%

HOU +7.3%

ATL -2.4%

ATL -7.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	ATL	NBA	HOU	ATL	NBA
this game	14.1	13.8	14.4	96.2	94.1	112.6
season	14.8	13.2		112.9	110.6
opponent	14.3	14.2		113.2	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.1	12.7	14.6	16.5	14.1
ATL	15.7	12.5	13.6	13.5	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jae'Sean Tate	54	51	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.25	15	-11	26	13.5	14.8	-1.34	15.8	11.8	4.02
Jock Landale	34	33	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.04	15	-11	26	14.3	14.1	0.18	15.9	12.8	3.05
Fred VanVleet	77	77	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.17	7	-3	10	14.4	13.4	1.00	13.9	13.6	0.28
Amen Thompson	66	66	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.31	1	3	-2	14.3	13.8	0.56	14.1	13.4	0.70
Aaron Holiday	37	34	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.35	-5	9	-14	13.5	14.5	-1.06	14.8	13.3	1.51
Cam Whitmore	44	45	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	0	4	12.9	15.1	-2.22	13.4	14.2	-0.82
Jalen Green	73	71	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.24	-4	8	-12	14.5	13.2	1.31	13.0	15.7	-2.68
Dillon Brooks	72	70	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.35	-8	12	-20	14.3	13.9	0.39	12.8	15.9	-3.09
Alperen Sengun	63	63	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.13	-5	9	-14	14.8	13.1	1.69	12.5	15.9	-3.33

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dyson Daniels	78	78	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-7	10	13.4	15.1	-1.66	14.7	12.5	2.14
Onyeka Okongwu	61	64	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.39	11	-15	26	12.6	15.6	-3.04	14.2	14.0	0.28
Vit Krejci	77	78	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.29	1	-5	6	13.3	15.3	-2.00	14.6	12.9	1.68
Trae Young	75	78	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.38	4	-8	12	13.3	15.1	-1.76	13.8	15.2	-1.40
Mouhamed Gueye	46	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.07	-7	3	-10	15.6	12.3	3.27	14.4	14.0	0.40
De'Andre Hunter	62	64	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-6	8	12.8	15.3	-2.53	13.7	14.9	-1.19
Garrison Mathews	25	27	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	1	-6	15.3	13.3	2.00	12.7	14.6	-1.95
Larry Nance Jr.	41	40	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	11	-26	15.6	12.6	3.04	14.0	14.2	-0.28
Keaton Wallace	45	44	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	10	-24	14.8	13.0	1.76	14.4	14.0	0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 87, MIL 76	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.24,0.26,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.14,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
IND 111, VAN 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.41,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.0%
POR 128, BKN 109	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.28,0.19,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%