NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	123		Excitement	6.2 [603]		MVP	CJ McCollum (NOP): +16.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	115		Comeback	1.4 [330]		LVP	Dejounte Murray (NOP): -11.4%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.21	0.01	0.06	24	64%	0.19	1	-0.02	11	55%	-0.07
Jose Alvarado	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.05	-0.01	8	72%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Hawkins	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	15	64%	0.13	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Daniel Theis	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.00	9	67%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Boston	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	7	61%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Javonte Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yves Missi	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	7	56%	0.03	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Dejounte Murray	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	17	47%	0.04	6	-0.15	2	50%	-0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.14	0.04	0.07	20	62%	0.14	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.03
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.03	-0.03	5	58%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ricky Council IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	-0.01	0.01	7	81%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Paul George	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	22	57%	0.15	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Dowtin Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	18	49%	0.02	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.02
Adem Bona	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Guerschon Yabusele	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	8	31%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.0	31.1	14.8	26.1	2.4	30.5	131.4
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +30.6%

PHI -8.4%

NOP +21.5%

NOP +0.2%

NOP +6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	PHI	NBA	NOP	PHI	NBA
this game	14.4	14.7	14.4	123.0	117.3	113.0
season	14.4	15.0		109.3	110.4
opponent	14.2	14.3		116.8	118.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.5	13.4	14.1	15.5	14.4
PHI	14.9	15.4	14.7	13.9	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Alvarado	47	48	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.10	19	-11	30	13.2	15.4	-2.16	15.2	14.2	1.05
Brandon Boston	44	45	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.12	14	-6	20	14.8	14.0	0.82	16.2	13.5	2.66
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	42	42	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.02	17	-9	26	14.5	14.3	0.21	16.4	13.4	3.00
Daniel Theis	33	34	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.06	16	-8	24	14.1	14.5	-0.39	16.5	13.7	2.78
CJ McCollum	75	72	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	6	-4	14.2	14.8	-0.56	14.1	16.5	-2.48
Yves Missi	67	64	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.32	-8	16	-24	14.5	14.1	0.39	13.7	16.5	-2.78
Dejounte Murray	69	66	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.20	-5	13	-18	14.7	13.8	0.88	13.7	16.7	-3.02
Javonte Green	58	56	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.25	-9	17	-26	14.3	14.5	-0.21	13.4	16.4	-3.00
Jordan Hawkins	65	63	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.13	-6	14	-20	14.8	13.7	1.11	15.1	14.1	0.98

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Dowtin Jr.	11	10	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-5	2	16.1	14.5	1.55	14.9	14.3	0.58
Paul George	72	74	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.26	7	-15	22	13.7	17.4	-3.69	15.6	10.8	4.83
Guerschon Yabusele	67	66	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.19	4	-12	16	13.7	17.0	-3.34	15.1	13.0	2.14
Reggie Jackson	13	12	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-3	-2	14.8	14.7	0.15	15.7	14.2	1.56
Kelly Oubre Jr.	81	83	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-6	4	14.6	15.3	-0.70	14.0	16.1	-2.02
Tyrese Maxey	82	86	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.27	0	-8	8	14.7	15.0	-0.34	14.4	14.5	-0.14
Caleb Martin	75	78	-0.28	-0.21	-0.07	-0.26	-1	-7	6	14.5	15.4	-0.94	13.8	16.6	-2.83
Adem Bona	26	28	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.08	-10	2	-12	16.2	14.2	2.06	13.1	14.9	-1.72
Ricky Council IV	33	34	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	5	-18	16.7	13.7	2.99	13.0	15.1	-2.14
Eric Gordon	30	29	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.00	-17	9	-26	16.4	14.0	2.43	14.3	14.4	-0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.28,0.36,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.33,0.44,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.31,0.23,0.33,0.29,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 109, MIN 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.34,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.34,0.37,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.11,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	93.5%
DAL 93, MIN 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.18,0.06,0.05,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.01,0	93.3%
ORL 113, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.31,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.3%