NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	113		Excitement	5.8 [714]		MVP	Nikola Vucevic (ORL): +18.5%
Toronto Raptors	98		Comeback	1.3 [305]		LVP	Aaron Gordon (ORL): -16.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.15	0.04	0.01	17	68%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.03	-0.02	21	57%	0.20	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.04
Jerian Grant	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	70%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.04	0.05	6	86%	0.10	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.05
Wes Iwundu	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jonathan Isaac	-0.02	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.07	11	62%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Khem Birch	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	11	48%	0.05	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Aaron Gordon	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.04	0.00	11	27%	-0.12	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	9	56%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.02	0.02	13	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	14	50%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Patrick McCaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	5	73%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.01	10	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Danny Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0.03	9	56%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	42%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	0.02	13	61%	0.08	5	-0.14	5	100%	0.02
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	8	30%	-0.05	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.4	28.3	14.7	25.3	2.5	27.3	126.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +30.0%

ORL +2.5%

ORL +8.1%

ORL +3.3%

ORL +6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	TOR	NBA	ORL	TOR	NBA
this game	15.5	13.3	14.3	114.1	97.0	109.3
season	14.9	14.3		107.2	111.5
opponent	14.5	14.3		105.9	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.6	17.7	12.6	17.8	15.5
TOR	13.6	11.8	13.6	14.3	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Gordon	62	64	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.06	12	3	9	14.6	17.0	-2.40	14.3	11.6	2.69
Khem Birch	35	35	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.11	10	5	5	15.1	15.7	-0.68	14.5	12.7	1.77
Evan Fournier	64	67	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.06	11	4	7	15.4	15.6	-0.21	13.7	12.5	1.25
Jerian Grant	44	44	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.16	7	8	-1	15.1	15.8	-0.77	13.5	13.2	0.27
Terrence Ross	60	62	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.09	7	8	-1	15.8	14.9	0.90	13.2	13.5	-0.34
Wes Iwundu	46	45	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	6	3	15.9	15.1	0.78	12.3	14.1	-1.79
Jonathan Isaac	65	65	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	9	-3	15.8	14.9	0.89	12.7	14.4	-1.65
D.J. Augustin	55	57	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.10	8	7	1	15.8	15.1	0.77	13.2	13.5	-0.27
Nikola Vucevic	64	66	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	10	-5	15.7	15.1	0.68	12.7	14.5	-1.77

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Green	58	57	0.11	-0.61	0.71	0.02	3	-18	21	12.7	14.2	-1.50	16.0	14.8	1.27
Chris Boucher	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-20	25	8.3	13.6	-5.31	19.5	15.2	4.26
Jodie Meeks	33	32	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.22	7	-22	29	13.2	13.4	-0.22	17.3	14.6	2.64
Marc Gasol	48	48	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.14	-7	-8	1	13.6	13.0	0.61	16.2	14.8	1.38
Pascal Siakam	78	77	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-10	5	12.9	14.9	-2.05	15.9	14.2	1.63
Kyle Lowry	76	76	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	-8	1	12.9	14.7	-1.85	15.9	14.1	1.78
Norman Powell	33	31	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.08	-13	-2	-11	13.4	13.3	0.14	13.6	16.3	-2.69
Serge Ibaka	51	50	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.04	-17	2	-19	13.7	13.0	0.73	14.8	16.2	-1.32
Patrick McCaw	31	30	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.08	-14	-1	-13	14.6	12.8	1.81	14.3	16.0	-1.67
OG Anunoby	52	50	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.12	-13	-2	-11	14.3	12.3	2.02	14.5	16.5	-2.05
Jeremy Lin	39	38	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.09	-14	-1	-13	13.7	13.1	0.68	14.7	16.0	-1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.31,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 106, NOP 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.35,0.27,0.36,0.42,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.22,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%
MIL 83, NYK 67	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.38,0.45,0.43,0.55,0.48,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.12,0.24,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.2%
MIL 106, BOS 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.42,0.46,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0	94.0%