NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	96		Excitement	5.4 [731]		MVP	Pascal Siakam (IND): +15.5%
Indiana Pacers	108		Comeback	1.2 [1174]		LVP	Andrew Nembhard (IND): -9.6%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gui Santos	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	5	92%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Quinten Post	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	4	67%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Trayce Jackson-Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.02	0.03	6	56%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Pat Spencer	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.02	0.02	12	65%	0.07	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Buddy Hield	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	19	42%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Anderson	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	9	44%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lindy Waters III	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	8	41%	0.01	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Kevon Looney	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	13	44%	0.02	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Moses Moody	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	11	32%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.04	0.04	16	74%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	-0.00	0.01	10	93%	0.24	5	-0.11	7	100%	0.03
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	0.00	3	83%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.03	0.05	18	58%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	9	46%	0.05	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Ben Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	42%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Furphy	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
RayJ Dennis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	8	56%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarace Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	6	29%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.4	25.6	15.3	28.6	2.3	23.3	124.0
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +37.9%

IND +3.9%

IND +1.6%

IND +8.3%

GSW -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	IND	NBA	GSW	IND	NBA
this game	15.9	13.6	14.4	99.0	109.1	113.0
season	14.5	13.9		112.9	114.9
opponent	14.7	14.5		112.8	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	16.2	16.6	14.3	16.3	15.9
IND	14.3	11.7	13.4	15.0	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gui Santos	46	50	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.28	9	-21	30	15.1	16.5	-1.46	14.5	12.6	1.83
Quinten Post	15	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.21	6	-18	24	14.5	16.1	-1.56	13.8	13.5	0.29
Moses Moody	48	50	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.26	7	-19	26	14.2	17.5	-3.26	12.9	14.3	-1.41
Pat Spencer	38	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-10	8	15.6	16.0	-0.37	14.6	12.8	1.80
Trayce Jackson-Davis	55	58	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.01	-6	-6	0	15.6	16.2	-0.67	13.4	13.7	-0.30
Kevon Looney	27	26	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.07	-12	0	-12	17.2	15.3	1.84	13.7	13.5	0.19
Dennis Schroder	60	60	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.06	-10	-2	-8	15.9	15.7	0.20	13.4	13.8	-0.35
Lindy Waters III	70	70	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	1	-14	16.7	13.6	3.14	13.7	13.2	0.54
Buddy Hield	72	72	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.00	-16	4	-20	16.1	15.3	0.78	13.4	14.0	-0.56
Kyle Anderson	54	53	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.14	-23	11	-34	16.6	14.9	1.79	12.7	14.5	-1.85

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bennedict Mathurin	68	67	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.08	22	-10	32	13.6	13.4	0.25	16.7	13.9	2.78
Tyrese Haliburton	73	70	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.01	18	-6	24	13.7	13.2	0.44	16.1	15.3	0.72
Pascal Siakam	60	59	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.10	21	-9	30	14.3	12.4	1.93	16.7	14.6	2.10
Myles Turner	60	58	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.12	21	-9	30	13.2	14.1	-0.82	16.6	14.7	1.90
Andrew Nembhard	58	56	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	0	12	14.3	12.4	1.91	16.6	14.9	1.74
T.J. McConnell	38	39	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	7	-2	12.0	14.5	-2.57	14.6	16.7	-2.03
Ben Sheppard	44	44	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.24	-7	19	-26	12.8	14.2	-1.37	14.5	17.0	-2.44
Thomas Bryant	36	37	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	16	-20	13.7	13.5	0.22	14.5	16.7	-2.21
Johnny Furphy	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	17	-22	18.3	13.4	4.93	19.0	15.8	3.21
James Johnson	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	17	-22	18.3	13.4	4.93	19.0	15.8	3.21
RayJ Dennis	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	17	-22	18.3	13.4	4.93	19.0	15.8	3.21
Obi Toppin	36	36	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.10	-4	16	-20	11.9	14.5	-2.62	14.3	16.8	-2.42
Jarace Walker	13	13	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.15	-9	21	-30	15.1	13.3	1.75	14.8	16.0	-1.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.7,0.78,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 94, HOU 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.63,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1	95.2%
POR 90, SEA 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.84,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
UTA 63, HOU 84	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.8,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%