NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	111		Excitement	7.9 [315]		MVP	P.J. Washington (DAL): +37.5%
Dallas Mavericks	117		Comeback	25.4 [120]		LVP	Klay Thompson (DAL): -11.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Clingan	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.12	0.06	0.00	4	100%	0.18	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Scoot Henderson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.03	0.01	7	77%	0.18	2	-0.05	12	100%	0.08
Kris Murray	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dalano Banton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	6	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaedon Sharpe	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.19,0.17,0.12,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.07	-0.02	19	54%	0.09	3	-0.12	3	100%	0.02
Deandre Ayton	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	12	35%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Toumani Camara	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	14	39%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	-0.08	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.09,0,-0.08,-0.08	0.03	-0.12	-0.01	22	50%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Washington	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.16,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.09	0.27	-0.02	13	62%	0.44	2	-0.06	11	100%	0.11
Dereck Lively II	0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.07	0.01	13	72%	0.21	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.04
Jaden Hardy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	-0.01	0.03	18	68%	0.15	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	-0.00	12	53%	0.02	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Naji Marshall	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	9	58%	0.08	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.05	0.01	12	52%	0.04	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Daniel Gafford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	6	23%	-0.05	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.6	26.7	14.0	28.0	1.6	39.2	134.5
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +27.7%

DAL +12.5%

DAL +13.0%

POR -5.4%

DAL +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DAL	NBA	POR	DAL	NBA
this game	15.2	14.2	14.4	113.3	119.4	113.1
season	14.3	14.3		110.3	113.3
opponent	14.4	14.5		114.4	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.4	14.8	14.8	17.7	15.2
DAL	16.6	15.2	13.4	11.8	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scoot Henderson	54	54	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.10	3	-9	12	14.7	15.8	-1.11	15.1	13.2	1.85
Dalano Banton	29	27	0.11	-0.61	0.73	0.06	2	-8	10	15.0	15.2	-0.23	17.0	13.2	3.78
Kris Murray	41	39	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.07	0	-6	6	15.7	14.8	0.85	13.3	14.9	-1.61
Deandre Ayton	43	41	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.04	-3	-3	0	15.1	15.2	-0.13	15.4	13.4	2.00
Donovan Clingan	49	51	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.39	3	-9	12	14.9	15.4	-0.49	13.6	14.9	-1.24
Anfernee Simons	75	74	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.36	0	-6	6	15.2	15.1	0.04	14.4	13.6	0.79
Deni Avdija	68	70	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.29	-13	7	-20	15.6	14.1	1.58	13.9	15.1	-1.29
Toumani Camara	64	66	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.46	-7	1	-8	14.6	16.1	-1.51	13.8	15.1	-1.29
Shaedon Sharpe	67	68	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.38	-15	9	-24	15.6	14.3	1.23	13.4	16.2	-2.85

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaden Hardy	58	57	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.31	13	-7	20	14.2	14.2	0.04	15.9	14.2	1.66
Dereck Lively II	71	71	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.24	15	-9	24	13.9	15.0	-1.12	15.4	14.6	0.84
Quentin Grimes	53	55	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.56	2	4	-2	14.8	13.5	1.36	15.1	15.3	-0.25
Spencer Dinwiddie	74	73	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.33	7	-1	8	13.9	15.2	-1.36	15.0	15.7	-0.69
P.J. Washington	74	73	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.44	3	3	0	13.8	15.6	-1.85	14.8	16.4	-1.61
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	16	18	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.10	7	-1	8	16.1	13.9	2.20	16.5	14.9	1.64
Daniel Gafford	19	20	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	10	-14	15.1	14.0	1.09	16.0	14.9	1.11
Klay Thompson	46	43	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.21	2	4	-2	13.8	14.6	-0.71	15.6	14.8	0.75
Naji Marshall	54	54	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.02	-6	12	-18	14.0	14.5	-0.54	15.1	15.2	-0.03
Maxi Kleber	25	26	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	-0.06	-9	15	-24	15.4	13.8	1.63	12.6	16.1	-3.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.25,0.37,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.39,0.45,0.35,0.21,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.34,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.22,0.1,0.21,0.57,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 84, ATL 88	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.2,0.15,0.12,0.21,0.26,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.28,0.55,0.91,1	92.2%
MIA 121, NYK 124	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.23,0.29,0.18,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.34,0.33,0.17,0.23,0.14,0.29,0.22,0.14,0.28,0.66,0.84,1	91.0%
ORL 88, BOS 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.37,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.22,0.24,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.14,0.13,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.25,0.4,0.25,0.36,0.57,0.96,1	90.7%