NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	119		Excitement	8.6 [212]		MVP	Fred VanVleet (HOU): +23.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	115		Comeback	1.4 [657]		LVP	Dillon Brooks (HOU): -15.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred VanVleet	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.24,0.24	0.11	0.14	0.01	13	76%	0.32	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Jae'Sean Tate	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.07	-0.00	6	60%	0.13	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.04
Amen Thompson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.02	6	53%	0.04	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Aaron Holiday	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.01	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jalen Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.1,-0.03,-0.03	0.08	-0.13	-0.02	21	61%	0.25	3	-0.29	2	50%	-0.01
Steven Adams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Alperen Sengun	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.08	-0.10	0.05	20	58%	0.09	3	-0.16	15	47%	-0.10
Cam Whitmore	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	14	30%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dillon Brooks	-0.16	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16	-0.14	-0.04	-0.02	15	17%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Clarke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.04	0.04	0.09	-0.04	0.01	7	79%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Edey	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jake LaRavia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jay Huff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	3	80%	0.06	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Desmond Bane	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.02	10	70%	0.11	4	-0.14	3	67%	-0.01
Jaylen Wells	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	5	33%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.10	0.00	15	64%	0.06	3	-0.10	3	67%	-0.00
Scotty Pippen Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ja Morant	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.07	-0.01	22	49%	0.02	4	-0.10	11	73%	-0.03
Santi Aldama	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	12	41%	-0.01	2	-0.07	5	40%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.3	2.3	30.5	14.6	33.2	2.5	37.5	152.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +35.2%

MEM -13.4%

HOU +27.2%

MEM -2.5%

HOU +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MEM	NBA	HOU	MEM	NBA
this game	14.5	12.6	14.4	113.3	106.5	113.1
season	14.7	13.3		114.2	116.5
opponent	14.3	14.2		112.0	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.4	13.0	14.4	17.7	14.5
MEM	12.8	13.2	12.2	12.0	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dillon Brooks	75	77	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.30	5	-1	6	14.2	15.2	-1.02	12.8	12.0	0.75
Fred VanVleet	88	92	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.33	3	1	2	14.4	15.0	-0.59	12.6	12.4	0.15
Alperen Sengun	78	78	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.34	2	2	0	14.3	15.1	-0.82	12.8	11.9	0.87
Jae'Sean Tate	39	43	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.25	4	0	4	15.1	14.2	0.91	12.4	12.7	-0.28
Aaron Holiday	47	48	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.33	1	3	-2	15.3	13.9	1.40	12.8	12.4	0.37
Jalen Green	82	84	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.34	-2	6	-8	15.1	12.4	2.71	12.3	13.4	-1.10
Cam Whitmore	34	36	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.04	4	0	4	14.1	14.7	-0.53	12.2	12.7	-0.56
Amen Thompson	78	79	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.25	-4	8	-12	14.8	13.7	1.08	12.6	12.6	-0.03
Steven Adams	26	28	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	3	-2	15.2	14.3	0.91	12.2	12.7	-0.47

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake LaRavia	43	41	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.22	9	-13	22	12.3	12.8	-0.47	15.6	13.8	1.73
Scotty Pippen Jr.	29	30	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-2	0	12.4	12.6	-0.21	15.1	14.3	0.88
Zach Edey	39	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	0	-4	12.7	12.5	0.16	14.6	14.5	0.11
Luke Kennard	55	52	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.53	13	-17	30	12.4	12.8	-0.37	15.5	13.5	2.05
Jaren Jackson Jr.	77	77	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.37	7	-11	18	12.1	13.6	-1.47	15.1	12.9	2.20
Santi Aldama	53	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	0	-4	13.1	12.1	1.00	13.6	15.3	-1.75
Jay Huff	25	24	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	7	-18	13.4	12.3	1.14	11.3	15.4	-4.11
Brandon Clarke	36	35	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.40	4	-8	12	12.9	12.4	0.49	15.4	14.1	1.34
Ja Morant	68	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.18	-7	3	-10	12.2	13.2	-1.05	13.9	15.6	-1.64
Desmond Bane	62	57	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.24	-5	1	-6	12.4	12.8	-0.42	15.1	13.8	1.31
Jaylen Wells	53	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.17	-20	16	-36	13.2	12.0	1.19	13.2	15.8	-2.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.24,0.13,0.1,0.22,0.45,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 101, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.2,0.13,0.19,0.23,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.17,0.05,0.22,0.55,0.15,0	92.0%
MIA 96, LAL 94	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.3,0.32,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.61,0.52,0.35,0.31,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.34,0.3,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.23,0.27,0	91.9%
LAC 100, POR 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.25,0.32,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.14,0.15,0.23,0.09,0	91.7%