NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	101		Excitement	7.7 [403]		MVP	Josh Hart (NYK): +30.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	97		Comeback	1.2 [481]		LVP	Julius Randle (NYK): -20.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Hart	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.35,0.31	0.09	0.21	-0.01	11	77%	0.34	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0.16	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.04,0.12,0.16	0.05	0.09	-0.02	24	52%	0.22	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Obi Toppin	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	4	90%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Hartenstein	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	3	80%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Mitchell Robinson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
RJ Barrett	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	12	27%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Immanuel Quickley	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.00	-0.00	5	21%	-0.06	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Julius Randle	-0.20	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.25,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.11	-0.08	0.01	20	43%	-0.04	5	-0.16	4	50%	-0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.09	0.01	8	78%	0.20	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.07	0.00	4	90%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.08,0.19,0.1,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.13	-0.07	0.00	30	58%	0.13	2	-0.07	6	67%	0.01
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darius Garland	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	13	59%	0.11	5	-0.11	3	33%	-0.03
Isaac Okoro	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	6	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	7	19%	-0.09	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Evan Mobley	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	13	31%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.9	2.8	30.4	15.7	29.4	3.5	34.3	145.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +22.5%

NYK +1.3%

NYK +35.1%

CLE -8.6%

CLE -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CLE	NBA	NYK	CLE	NBA
this game	15.8	14.5	14.4	106.3	102.1	113.4
season	15.1	15.1		115.6	114.0
opponent	14.7	14.4		109.0	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.1	17.0	14.6	20.9	15.8
CLE	14.5	14.3	14.8	14.4	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Hartenstein	45	45	1.03	-0.53	1.57	0.48	19	-15	34	14.7	16.7	-2.03	14.3	14.7	-0.43
Quentin Grimes	55	56	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.50	10	-6	16	14.6	17.3	-2.71	14.4	14.8	-0.39
Josh Hart	63	64	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.36	5	-1	6	16.7	14.0	2.64	14.4	14.8	-0.35
Jalen Brunson	55	56	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.38	2	2	0	16.8	14.3	2.47	14.6	14.4	0.21
Obi Toppin	29	29	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	-8	20	14.5	16.3	-1.82	15.2	14.2	0.96
Immanuel Quickley	51	50	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.05	8	-4	12	13.7	18.2	-4.56	14.6	14.5	0.09
Julius Randle	66	66	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.31	-8	12	-20	16.3	14.5	1.82	14.2	15.2	-0.96
RJ Barrett	61	59	-0.42	0.92	-1.35	-0.04	-13	17	-30	16.7	14.1	2.63	14.7	14.3	0.42
Mitchell Robinson	50	50	-0.53	1.03	-1.57	-0.09	-15	19	-34	16.7	14.7	2.03	14.7	14.3	0.43

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaac Okoro	48	47	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.06	6	-10	16	14.6	14.5	0.09	15.1	16.4	-1.33
Evan Mobley	74	75	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.38	9	-13	22	14.4	15.1	-0.72	16.2	14.2	1.94
Ricky Rubio	11	13	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.07	-9	5	-14	15.1	14.5	0.63	11.2	16.5	-5.36
Dean Wade	17	18	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.13	-14	10	-24	14.2	14.6	-0.37	10.9	16.9	-6.03
Cedi Osman	31	31	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.37	1	-5	6	14.6	14.5	0.16	19.8	13.8	5.93
Jarrett Allen	85	83	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.41	2	-6	8	14.4	15.3	-0.85	16.6	10.3	6.23
Donovan Mitchell	86	84	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.45	2	-6	8	14.4	15.4	-1.00	16.4	11.2	5.20
Caris LeVert	37	38	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	10	-24	14.7	14.4	0.23	13.7	17.1	-3.40
Darius Garland	86	86	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.40	-3	-1	-2	14.7	12.8	1.94	15.6	17.2	-1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.2,0.13,0.19,0.23,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.17,0.05,0.22,0.55,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 85, ATL 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.25,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.38,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.33,0.28,0	92.5%
SAS 85, HOU 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.29,0.31,0.18,0.26,0.21,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.19,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.43,0.17,0	91.1%
PHX 100, MIN 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.52,0.63,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.35,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.19,0.25,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.3,0.33,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.17,0	90.9%